Russia · Premier League

FC Orenburg vs Zenit

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Aug 2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

96% confidence

FC Orenburg 0.8% Draw 3.6% Zenit 95.6%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 37%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 89%

⚠️ AIs disagree

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-4 at 12%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Zenit: 6 points versus 12 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.75 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

89%

Market agrees with this pick

FC Orenburg

W L W L

Form 2-0-2 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.75

Zenit

W W W W

Form 4-0-0 Goals 11:2 Scored/game 2.75 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Orenburg win0.8%

Draw3.6%

Zenit win95.6%

Over 1.5 goals95.8%

Over 2.5 goals86.7%

Over 3.5 goals71.8%

Both teams to score36.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Win

91.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away99.0%

Draw or Away (X2)95.0%

Home or Away (12)92.9%

Away Win91.9%

Both Halves Over 0.583.4%

Goal in Both Halves83.4%

Home or Draw (1X)4.1%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Draw3.1%

Home Win1.0%

Draw No Bet - Home1.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals83.2%

Over 3.5 Goals68.9%

4+ Goals68.9%

Under 5.5 Goals66.3%

Over 4.5 Goals51.2%

Under 4.5 Goals48.8%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

2-4 Goals40.6%

Over 5.5 Goals33.7%

3-4 Goals31.9%

Under 3.5 Goals31.1%

1-3 Goals26.4%

2-3 Goals22.9%

Under 2.5 Goals16.8%

Exactly 3 Goals14.3%

1-2 Goals12.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals8.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)65.0%

Away Clean Sheet60.6%

Away Win to Nil59.9%

Home Team to Score35.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)35.0%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Exactly 060.6%

Home Over 0.535.4%

Home Exactly 127.9%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Home Over 1.57.5%

Home Exactly 26.4%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Home Over 2.51.1%

Home 3+ Goals1.1%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)91.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away84.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)75.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)70.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away70.7%

Away to win by 3+70.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home60.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)53.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away53.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)42.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home42.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away35.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home25.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away20.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw17.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw15.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.5%

Away to win by 213.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 17.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home4.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw0.8%

Home to win by 10.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 20.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.581.7%

Away & No BTTS59.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.549.6%

BTTS & Over 2.533.5%

Away & BTTS32.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

Away & Under 2.510.3%

Draw & BTTS2.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Home & Over 2.50.6%

Home & BTTS0.5%

Home & Under 2.50.4%

Home & No BTTS0.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.2%

HT Away Win81.2%

HT/FT Away/Away80.4%

HT Over 1.565.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.5%

HT Under 1.534.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT Both Teams Score16.2%

HT Draw15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.5%

HT Under 0.510.8%

HT Home Win3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.7%

HT/FT Home/Home0.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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