UEFA Champions League

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Oct 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

FC Porto 58.1% Draw 17.6% PSV Eindhoven 24.3%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Porto: 12 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

FC Porto

L W W W L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 13:9 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.5

PSV Eindhoven

L L W L W D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Porto win58.1%

Draw17.6%

PSV Eindhoven win24.3%

Over 1.5 goals96.9%

Over 2.5 goals88.6%

Over 3.5 goals75.2%

Both teams to score83.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.1%

Over 2.5 Goals

88.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.7%

Goal in Both Halves84.7%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Home or Draw (1X)74.9%

Draw No Bet - Home70.3%

Home Win58.3%

Draw or Away (X2)41.2%

Draw No Bet - Away29.7%

Away Win24.7%

Draw16.5%

Exactly 1 Goal3.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals95.9%

Over 2.5 Goals88.1%

Over 3.5 Goals74.8%

4+ Goals74.8%

Under 5.5 Goals59.7%

Over 4.5 Goals57.8%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals42.2%

Over 5.5 Goals40.3%

2-4 Goals38.1%

3-4 Goals30.4%

Under 3.5 Goals25.2%

1-3 Goals24.1%

2-3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 3 Goals13.3%

Under 2.5 Goals11.9%

1-2 Goals10.8%

Exactly 2 Goals7.8%

Under 1.5 Goals4.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score86.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.2%

Home Clean Sheet12.7%

Home Win to Nil12.1%

Away Clean Sheet4.6%

Away Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 0.586.8%

Home Over 1.580.7%

Away Over 1.560.6%

Home Over 2.558.9%

Home 3+ Goals58.9%

Away Over 2.533.7%

Away 3+ Goals33.7%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 126.2%

Home Exactly 221.8%

Home Exactly 114.2%

Away Exactly 012.7%

Home Exactly 04.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)59.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away59.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)58.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away41.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.4%

Home to win by 3+24.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.1%

Away to win by 112.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 27.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.5%

Away to win by 3+5.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.0%

Home & Over 2.553.7%

Home & BTTS46.2%

Away & Over 2.522.2%

Away & BTTS20.6%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

Draw & Over 2.512.2%

Home & No BTTS12.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

Home & Under 2.54.6%

Draw & Under 2.54.3%

Away & No BTTS4.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.1%

HT Over 1.567.1%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT Home Win47.5%

HT Both Teams Score45.2%

HT/FT Home/Home39.7%

HT Under 1.532.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.3%

HT Away Win25.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Away/Away14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.8%

HT Under 0.59.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions