Russia · Premier League

FC Rostov vs Akron

Kick-off 17:30 · Fri, Oct 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

FC Rostov 73.1% Draw 14.7% Akron 12.2%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Rostov: 8 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

FC Rostov

D D W L L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Akron

D D D L L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

FC Rostov 1wins ·0 draws ·Akron 0wins

FC Rostov 3-1 AkronMay 11, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Rostov win73.1%

Draw14.7%

Akron win12.2%

Over 1.5 goals95.2%

Over 2.5 goals84.3%

Over 3.5 goals68.3%

Both teams to score72.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

88.9%

HT Over 0.5

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.6%

Home or Away (12)85.9%

Draw No Bet - Home85.2%

Both Halves Over 0.581.0%

Goal in Both Halves81.0%

Home Win73.2%

Draw or Away (X2)26.2%

Draw No Bet - Away14.8%

Draw13.5%

Away Win12.7%

Exactly 1 Goal4.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals94.0%

Over 2.5 Goals83.8%

Under 5.5 Goals68.1%

Over 3.5 Goals67.8%

4+ Goals67.8%

Under 4.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 4.5 Goals49.2%

2-4 Goals44.8%

3-4 Goals34.5%

Under 3.5 Goals32.2%

Over 5.5 Goals31.9%

1-3 Goals30.6%

2-3 Goals26.2%

Under 2.5 Goals16.2%

Exactly 3 Goals15.9%

1-2 Goals14.6%

Exactly 2 Goals10.2%

Under 1.5 Goals6.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score74.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.2%

Home Clean Sheet24.6%

Home Win to Nil23.7%

Away Clean Sheet3.8%

Away Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 1.583.1%

Away Over 0.574.7%

Home Over 2.562.8%

Home 3+ Goals62.8%

Away Over 1.540.3%

Away Exactly 134.4%

Away Exactly 024.6%

Away Exactly 223.9%

Home Exactly 220.3%

Away Over 2.516.4%

Away 3+ Goals16.4%

Home Exactly 112.4%

Home Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home55.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)44.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away44.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)36.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home36.5%

Home to win by 3+36.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 218.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 118.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.7%

Away to win by 17.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.4%

Away to win by 23.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.7%

Away to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.5%

Home & Over 2.565.0%

Home & BTTS49.5%

Home & No BTTS23.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.2%

Draw & BTTS12.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.3%

Away & Over 2.510.5%

Away & BTTS9.9%

Draw & Over 2.58.2%

Home & Under 2.58.1%

Draw & Under 2.55.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Away & No BTTS2.9%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.7%

HT Over 1.562.0%

HT Home Win57.7%

HT/FT Home/Home52.5%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Under 1.538.0%

HT Both Teams Score35.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw26.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.4%

HT Away Win15.8%

HT Under 0.512.3%

HT/FT Away/Away7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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