Russia · Premier League

FC Rostov vs Dynamo

Kick-off 16:30 · Thu, Sep 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

FC Rostov 68.8% Draw 17.3% Dynamo 13.9%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Dynamo: 8 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

FC Rostov

D D W L L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Dynamo

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Rostov win68.8%

Draw17.3%

Dynamo win13.9%

Over 1.5 goals92.3%

Over 2.5 goals77.6%

Over 3.5 goals58.5%

Both teams to score68.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.3%

Home or Draw (1X)

85.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

85.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.1%

Home or Away (12)84.0%

Draw No Bet - Home82.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.4%

Goal in Both Halves75.4%

Home Win69.4%

Draw or Away (X2)30.3%

Draw No Bet - Away17.4%

Draw15.7%

Away Win14.7%

Exactly 1 Goal6.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals91.3%

Over 2.5 Goals77.4%

Under 5.5 Goals77.2%

Under 4.5 Goals61.2%

Over 3.5 Goals58.3%

4+ Goals58.3%

2-4 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals41.7%

1-3 Goals39.8%

Over 4.5 Goals38.8%

3-4 Goals38.5%

2-3 Goals33.0%

Over 5.5 Goals22.8%

Under 2.5 Goals22.6%

1-2 Goals20.7%

Exactly 3 Goals19.0%

Exactly 2 Goals13.9%

Under 1.5 Goals8.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.8%

Away Team to Score71.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.4%

Home Clean Sheet27.9%

Home Win to Nil26.3%

Away Clean Sheet5.9%

Away Win to Nil4.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.8%

Home Over 1.577.1%

Away Over 0.571.8%

Home Over 2.553.4%

Home 3+ Goals53.4%

Away Over 1.536.3%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Away Exactly 027.9%

Home Exactly 223.7%

Away Exactly 222.6%

Home Exactly 116.7%

Away Over 2.513.6%

Away 3+ Goals13.6%

Home Exactly 05.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away50.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.3%

Home to win by 3+30.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 120.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 219.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 19.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 23.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.6%

Home & Over 2.558.1%

Home & BTTS43.1%

Home & No BTTS26.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.8%

Draw & BTTS14.0%

Home & Under 2.511.3%

Away & Over 2.511.2%

Away & BTTS10.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.1%

Draw & Under 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Away & No BTTS4.3%

Away & Under 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.2%

HT Over 1.555.0%

HT Home Win53.7%

HT/FT Home/Home48.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.0%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score31.4%

HT Draw29.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.1%

HT Away Win16.7%

HT Under 0.515.8%

HT/FT Away/Away8.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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