Russia · Premier League

FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv

Kick-off 11:45 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

75% confidence

FC Rostov 75.1% Draw 15.1% Lokomotiv 9.8%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Rostov: 8 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

FC Rostov

D D W L L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Lokomotiv

D D L D L W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Rostov win75.1%

Draw15.1%

Lokomotiv win9.8%

Over 1.5 goals92.0%

Over 2.5 goals77.2%

Over 3.5 goals57.9%

Both teams to score63.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.2%

Draw No Bet - Home87.8%

Home or Away (12)86.0%

Home Win75.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.1%

Goal in Both Halves75.1%

Draw or Away (X2)24.1%

Draw13.6%

Draw No Bet - Away12.2%

Away Win10.5%

Exactly 1 Goal6.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals91.0%

Under 5.5 Goals77.7%

Over 2.5 Goals76.9%

Under 4.5 Goals61.8%

Over 3.5 Goals57.7%

4+ Goals57.7%

2-4 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals42.3%

1-3 Goals40.2%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 4.5 Goals38.2%

2-3 Goals33.3%

Under 2.5 Goals23.1%

Over 5.5 Goals22.3%

1-2 Goals21.1%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.1%

Under 1.5 Goals9.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.6%

Away Team to Score65.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.6%

Home Clean Sheet33.9%

Home Win to Nil32.2%

Away Clean Sheet5.0%

Away Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.6%

Home Over 1.579.6%

Away Over 0.565.7%

Home Over 2.557.2%

Home 3+ Goals57.2%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 033.9%

Away Over 1.529.2%

Home Exactly 222.4%

Away Exactly 219.7%

Home Exactly 115.0%

Away Over 2.59.5%

Away 3+ Goals9.5%

Home Exactly 05.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)75.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)56.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home56.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)43.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away43.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)36.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home36.4%

Home to win by 3+36.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)24.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away24.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 220.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 119.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 16.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 22.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.562.8%

BTTS & Over 2.556.9%

Home & BTTS43.4%

Home & No BTTS32.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.3%

Home & Under 2.512.7%

Draw & BTTS11.9%

Away & Over 2.57.6%

Draw & Under 2.57.2%

Away & BTTS7.2%

Draw & Over 2.56.4%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Away & No BTTS3.3%

Away & Under 2.52.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.0%

HT Home Win58.4%

HT Over 1.554.7%

HT/FT Home/Home53.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score28.4%

HT Draw28.3%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.8%

HT Under 0.516.0%

HT Away Win13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.8%

HT/FT Away/Away5.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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