Russia · Premier League

FC Rostov vs Rubin

Kick-off 16:30 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

FC Rostov 53.4% Draw 21.8% Rubin 24.8%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Rostov: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

FC Rostov

D W L L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Rubin

D W L D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Rostov win53.4%

Draw21.8%

Rubin win24.8%

Over 1.5 goals90.7%

Over 2.5 goals74.0%

Over 3.5 goals53.8%

Both teams to score72.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Home Over 0.5

89.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.1%

Home or Draw (1X)74.2%

Both Halves Over 0.572.5%

Goal in Both Halves72.5%

Draw No Bet - Home67.9%

Home Win54.3%

Draw or Away (X2)45.6%

Draw No Bet - Away32.1%

Away Win25.7%

Draw19.8%

Exactly 1 Goal8.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.7%

Under 5.5 Goals80.8%

Over 2.5 Goals73.9%

Under 4.5 Goals65.8%

2-4 Goals55.4%

Over 3.5 Goals53.7%

4+ Goals53.7%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals46.3%

1-3 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals39.7%

2-3 Goals35.9%

Over 4.5 Goals34.2%

Under 2.5 Goals26.1%

1-2 Goals23.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 5.5 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals15.7%

Under 1.5 Goals10.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score78.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.1%

Home Clean Sheet21.1%

Home Win to Nil19.0%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil7.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 0.578.8%

Home Over 1.566.8%

Away Over 1.546.0%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Away Exactly 132.8%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Exactly 021.1%

Away Over 2.520.5%

Away 3+ Goals20.5%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.6%

Home to win by 3+17.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 216.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.0%

Away to win by 114.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.4%

Away to win by 27.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.4%

Away to win by 3+4.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.4%

Home & Over 2.543.9%

Home & BTTS35.4%

Away & Over 2.519.9%

Home & No BTTS19.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.4%

Away & BTTS17.8%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

Home & Under 2.510.5%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

Draw & Under 2.59.7%

Away & No BTTS7.9%

BTTS & Under 2.57.6%

Away & Under 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.4%

HT Over 1.551.8%

HT Under 1.548.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

HT Home Win42.8%

HT/FT Home/Home35.2%

HT Draw32.9%

HT Both Teams Score32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win24.3%

Equal Goals Each Half20.8%

HT Under 0.517.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.1%

HT/FT Away/Away15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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