Germany · Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg

Kick-off 16:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

36% confidence

FC Schalke 04 35.9% Draw 34.4% SV Elversberg 29.7%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 5.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SV Elversberg: 10 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.6%

Exact-score model probability

FC Schalke 04

W D L W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

SV Elversberg

L W W W L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 17:11 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Schalke 04 win35.9%

Draw34.4%

SV Elversberg win29.7%

Over 1.5 goals56.5%

Over 2.5 goals92.1%

Over 3.5 goals11.8%

Both teams to score89.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.7%

Both Halves Over 0.5

88.2%

Goal in Both Halves

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.2%

Goal in Both Halves88.2%

Home or Away (12)82.3%

Home or Draw (1X)59.5%

Draw or Away (X2)57.1%

Draw No Bet - Home51.5%

Draw No Bet - Away48.5%

Home Win42.4%

Away Win40.0%

Draw17.2%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals97.2%

Over 2.5 Goals91.7%

Over 3.5 Goals81.2%

4+ Goals81.2%

Over 4.5 Goals66.4%

Under 5.5 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals33.6%

2-4 Goals30.8%

3-4 Goals25.3%

Under 3.5 Goals18.8%

1-3 Goals17.9%

2-3 Goals16.0%

Exactly 3 Goals10.5%

Under 2.5 Goals8.3%

1-2 Goals7.5%

Exactly 2 Goals5.5%

Under 1.5 Goals2.8%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.8%

Away Team to Score93.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.9%

Home Clean Sheet6.1%

Home Win to Nil5.7%

Away Clean Sheet5.6%

Away Win to Nil5.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.8%

Away Over 0.593.4%

Home Over 1.577.7%

Away Over 1.576.4%

Home Over 2.554.4%

Home 3+ Goals54.4%

Away Over 2.552.7%

Away 3+ Goals52.7%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Home Exactly 223.3%

Away Exactly 117.0%

Home Exactly 116.2%

Away Exactly 06.1%

Home Exactly 05.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 115.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 115.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.6%

Home to win by 3+14.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.2%

Away to win by 3+13.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 212.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.4%

Away to win by 211.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.8%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.4%

Home & Over 2.540.0%

Away & Over 2.537.6%

Home & BTTS36.6%

Away & BTTS34.7%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.3%

Home & No BTTS5.7%

Away & No BTTS5.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Draw & Under 2.53.1%

BTTS & Under 2.52.8%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.2%

HT Over 1.572.4%

HT Both Teams Score52.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.8%

HT Home Win37.5%

HT Away Win35.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.6%

HT/FT Home/Home27.4%

HT Draw26.7%

HT/FT Away/Away25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.9%

HT Under 0.57.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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