South-Korea · K League 1

FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

FC Seoul 59.1% Draw 25.4% Daejeon Citizen 15.5%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 12.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.9%

Exact-score model probability

FC Seoul

D D L W W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Daejeon Citizen

W W L D D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

FC Seoul 1wins ·0 draws ·Daejeon Citizen 0wins

FC Seoul 2-1 Daejeon CitizenMay 16, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Seoul win59.1%

Draw25.4%

Daejeon Citizen win15.5%

Over 1.5 goals75.4%

Over 2.5 goals49.2%

Over 3.5 goals27.3%

Both teams to score48.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

87.2%

Home Team to Score

83.6%

Home Over 0.5

83.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)83.1%

Draw No Bet - Home78.2%

Home or Away (12)77.3%

Home Win60.5%

Both Halves Over 0.553.2%

Goal in Both Halves53.2%

Draw or Away (X2)39.5%

Draw22.6%

Draw No Bet - Away21.8%

Exactly 1 Goal18.8%

Away Win16.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.8%

Over 0.5 Goals92.9%

Under 4.5 Goals87.2%

Over 1.5 Goals74.0%

Under 3.5 Goals72.7%

1-3 Goals65.6%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Under 2.5 Goals50.9%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals49.1%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals43.7%

3-4 Goals36.3%

Over 3.5 Goals27.3%

4+ Goals27.3%

Under 1.5 Goals26.0%

Exactly 2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals12.8%

Under 0.5 Goals7.1%

Exactly 0 Goals7.1%

Over 5.5 Goals5.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.6%

Away Team to Score56.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.2%

Home Clean Sheet43.5%

Home Win to Nil36.4%

Away Clean Sheet16.4%

Away Win to Nil9.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.6%

Away Over 0.556.5%

Home Over 1.553.9%

Away Exactly 043.5%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Home Exactly 129.6%

Home Over 2.527.1%

Home 3+ Goals27.1%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Over 1.520.3%

Home Exactly 016.4%

Away Exactly 215.1%

Away Over 2.55.2%

Away 3+ Goals5.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.4%

Home to win by 125.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 218.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.4%

Home to win by 3+16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.7%

Away to win by 111.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.0%

Away to win by 24.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.1%

BTTS & Over 2.536.5%

Home & No BTTS36.4%

Home & Over 2.535.9%

Home & Under 2.524.6%

Home & BTTS24.1%

Draw & Under 2.517.9%

Draw & BTTS15.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.7%

BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

Away & No BTTS9.3%

Away & Over 2.58.4%

Away & Under 2.58.4%

Away & BTTS7.6%

Draw & Over 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.5%

HT Under 1.566.7%

HT Home Win43.6%

2nd Half More Goals43.2%

HT Draw40.5%

HT/FT Home/Home38.4%

HT Over 1.533.3%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.5%

Equal Goals Each Half25.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.4%

HT Both Teams Score17.4%

HT Away Win15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.3%

HT/FT Away/Away9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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