South-Korea · K League 1

FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Kick-off 08:30 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

FC Seoul 46.4% Draw 25.1% Gimcheon Sangmu FC 28.5%

Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Seoul: 12 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.1%

Exact-score model probability

FC Seoul

L W L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 19:8 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

W W D D D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 4:1 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.17

Head to head · last 2

FC Seoul 0wins ·1 draws ·Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1wins

FC Seoul 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FCAug 8, 2026

FC Seoul 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu FCMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Seoul win46.4%

Draw25.1%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win28.5%

Over 1.5 goals85.3%

Over 2.5 goals63.9%

Over 3.5 goals41.8%

Both teams to score65.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

83.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

83.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.8%

Home or Draw (1X)64.4%

Both Halves Over 0.560.1%

Goal in Both Halves60.1%

Draw or Away (X2)59.8%

Draw No Bet - Home53.0%

Draw No Bet - Away47.0%

Home Win40.2%

Away Win35.6%

Draw24.2%

Exactly 1 Goal14.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.1%

Under 5.5 Goals91.5%

Under 4.5 Goals81.3%

Over 1.5 Goals80.3%

Under 3.5 Goals64.4%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.5%

Over 2.5 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.7%

Under 2.5 Goals42.0%

3-4 Goals39.3%

1-2 Goals37.1%

Over 3.5 Goals35.6%

4+ Goals35.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals19.7%

Over 4.5 Goals18.7%

Over 5.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.9%

Exactly 0 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.0%

Away Team to Score76.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.4%

Home Clean Sheet23.3%

Away Clean Sheet21.0%

Home Win to Nil18.4%

Away Win to Nil16.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.0%

Away Over 0.576.7%

Home Over 1.546.2%

Away Over 1.542.7%

Away Exactly 133.9%

Home Exactly 132.8%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 023.3%

Home Exactly 021.0%

Home Over 2.520.6%

Home 3+ Goals20.6%

Away Over 2.518.0%

Away 3+ Goals18.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.0%

Away to win by 119.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 212.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.4%

Away to win by 210.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.9%

Home to win by 3+7.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.2%

Away to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.8%

Home & Over 2.526.6%

Away & Over 2.523.3%

Home & BTTS21.8%

Away & BTTS19.5%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS18.4%

Away & No BTTS16.1%

Draw & Under 2.516.0%

Home & Under 2.513.6%

Away & Under 2.512.3%

BTTS & Under 2.511.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.3%

HT Under 1.560.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT Over 1.539.3%

HT Draw39.0%

HT Home Win31.9%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Away Win29.1%

HT Under 0.525.7%

HT Both Teams Score24.2%

HT/FT Home/Home24.1%

Equal Goals Each Half23.9%

HT/FT Away/Away21.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions