South-Korea · K League 1

FC Seoul vs Incheon United

Kick-off 08:30 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

FC Seoul 70.5% Draw 17.3% Incheon United 12.2%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Seoul: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.9%

Exact-score model probability

FC Seoul

D W L W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

Incheon United

D W D L W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

FC Seoul 1wins ·0 draws ·Incheon United 0wins

FC Seoul 1-0 Incheon UnitedJul 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Seoul win70.5%

Draw17.3%

Incheon United win12.2%

Over 1.5 goals90.5%

Over 2.5 goals73.9%

Over 3.5 goals53.6%

Both teams to score63.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.5%

Home or Draw (1X)

86.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

86.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.8%

Draw No Bet - Home84.6%

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Both Halves Over 0.572.4%

Goal in Both Halves72.4%

Home Win71.2%

Draw or Away (X2)28.6%

Draw15.6%

Draw No Bet - Away15.4%

Away Win13.0%

Exactly 1 Goal8.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.5%

Under 5.5 Goals81.0%

Over 2.5 Goals73.7%

Under 4.5 Goals66.0%

2-4 Goals55.5%

Over 3.5 Goals53.5%

4+ Goals53.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals46.5%

1-3 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals39.7%

2-3 Goals36.0%

Over 4.5 Goals34.0%

Under 2.5 Goals26.3%

1-2 Goals23.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 5.5 Goals19.0%

Exactly 2 Goals15.7%

Under 1.5 Goals10.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.3%

Away Team to Score67.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.3%

Home Clean Sheet32.7%

Home Win to Nil30.6%

Away Clean Sheet6.5%

Away Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.3%

Home Over 1.575.6%

Away Over 0.567.1%

Home Over 2.551.3%

Home 3+ Goals51.3%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 032.7%

Away Over 1.530.6%

Home Exactly 224.3%

Away Exactly 220.4%

Home Exactly 117.7%

Away Over 2.510.3%

Away 3+ Goals10.3%

Home Exactly 06.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.8%

Home to win by 3+30.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.5%

Home to win by 120.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 219.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.4%

Away to win by 18.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.3%

Away to win by 23.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.557.5%

BTTS & Over 2.556.3%

Home & BTTS40.6%

Home & No BTTS30.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.5%

Home & Under 2.513.8%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Away & Over 2.59.3%

Draw & Under 2.58.6%

Away & BTTS8.6%

Draw & Over 2.57.0%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & No BTTS4.4%

Away & Under 2.53.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.3%

HT Home Win54.5%

HT Over 1.551.7%

HT/FT Home/Home49.4%

HT Under 1.548.3%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw30.4%

HT Both Teams Score28.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.9%

HT Under 0.517.7%

HT Away Win15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Away/Away7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions