UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Sion vs Bate Borisov

Kick-off 19:15 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

FC Sion 32.6% Draw 40.9% Bate Borisov 26.5%

Over 2.5 - 18% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 23.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

23.8%

Exact-score model probability

FC Sion

Form 0-1-0 Goals 1:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Bate Borisov

D D D

Form 0-3-0 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

FC Sion 0wins ·1 draws ·Bate Borisov 0wins

FC Sion 1-1 Bate BorisovJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Sion win32.6%

Draw40.9%

Bate Borisov win26.5%

Over 1.5 goals43.6%

Over 2.5 goals17.5%

Over 3.5 goals5.8%

Both teams to score27.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.2%

HT Under 1.5

86.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)71.8%

Draw or Away (X2)65.9%

Home or Away (12)62.3%

Draw No Bet - Home54.8%

Draw No Bet - Away45.2%

Draw37.7%

Exactly 1 Goal34.2%

Home Win34.1%

Away Win28.2%

Both Halves Over 0.525.9%

Goal in Both Halves25.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.6%

Under 4.5 Goals98.4%

Under 3.5 Goals94.2%

Under 2.5 Goals82.5%

Over 0.5 Goals76.2%

1-3 Goals70.4%

1-2 Goals58.7%

Under 1.5 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Even52.8%

Total Goals Odd47.2%

Over 1.5 Goals42.0%

2-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals36.2%

Exactly 2 Goals24.5%

Under 0.5 Goals23.8%

Exactly 0 Goals23.8%

Over 2.5 Goals17.5%

3-4 Goals15.9%

Exactly 3 Goals11.7%

Over 3.5 Goals5.8%

4+ Goals5.8%

Over 4.5 Goals1.6%

Over 5.5 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.9%

Home Team to Score53.6%

Home Clean Sheet51.3%

Away Team to Score48.7%

Away Clean Sheet46.4%

Home Win to Nil27.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.1%

Away Win to Nil22.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.553.6%

Away Exactly 051.3%

Away Over 0.548.7%

Home Exactly 046.4%

Home Exactly 135.6%

Away Exactly 134.2%

Home Over 1.517.9%

Away Over 1.514.4%

Home Exactly 213.7%

Away Exactly 211.4%

Home Over 2.54.3%

Home 3+ Goals4.3%

Away Over 2.53.0%

Away 3+ Goals3.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.4%

Home to win by 123.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.3%

Away to win by 120.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.3%

Home to win by 28.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 26.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.570.3%

Draw & Under 2.536.0%

Home & No BTTS27.5%

Home & Under 2.525.3%

Away & No BTTS22.6%

Away & Under 2.521.2%

BTTS & Over 2.513.9%

Draw & BTTS13.8%

BTTS & Under 2.512.2%

Home & Over 2.58.8%

Away & Over 2.57.0%

Home & BTTS6.7%

Away & BTTS5.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.6%

Draw & Over 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.586.3%

HT Draw58.0%

HT Under 0.552.5%

HT Over 0.547.5%

Equal Goals Each Half37.6%

2nd Half More Goals35.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw30.6%

1st Half More Goals26.9%

HT Home Win22.7%

HT Away Win19.3%

HT/FT Home/Home18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.9%

HT/FT Away/Away14.9%

HT Over 1.513.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.6%

HT Both Teams Score7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home0.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

FC Sion win10%

Draw45%

Bate Borisov win45%

AdviceCombo Double chance : draw or Bate Borisov and -3.5 goals

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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