UEFA Europa Conference League

FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

FC ST. Gallen 83.2% Draw 11.1% Sheriff Tiraspol 5.7%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw No Bet - Home

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 8.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC ST. Gallen: 6 points versus 4 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.5%

Exact-score model probability

FC ST. Gallen

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Sheriff Tiraspol

L L L W D

Form 1-1-3 Goals 2:9 Scored/game 0.4 Conceded/game 1.8

Head to head · last 1

FC ST. Gallen 1wins ·0 draws ·Sheriff Tiraspol 0wins

FC ST. Gallen 3-1 Sheriff TiraspolAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC ST. Gallen win83.2%

Draw11.1%

Sheriff Tiraspol win5.7%

Over 1.5 goals93.7%

Over 2.5 goals81.1%

Over 3.5 goals63.4%

Both teams to score59.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Under 11.5 Corners

90.0%

Home or Away (12)

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home93.0%

Home or Draw (1X)92.9%

Home or Away (12)89.2%

Home Win82.9%

Both Halves Over 0.578.4%

Goal in Both Halves78.4%

Draw or Away (X2)16.2%

Draw9.9%

Draw No Bet - Away7.0%

Away Win6.2%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals92.4%

Over 2.5 Goals80.4%

Under 5.5 Goals73.2%

Over 3.5 Goals62.9%

4+ Goals62.9%

Under 4.5 Goals56.4%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-4 Goals48.7%

Over 4.5 Goals43.6%

Under 3.5 Goals37.1%

3-4 Goals36.7%

1-3 Goals35.0%

2-3 Goals29.5%

Over 5.5 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals19.6%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.5%

Exactly 2 Goals12.0%

Under 1.5 Goals7.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score60.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.8%

Home Clean Sheet39.0%

Home Win to Nil37.7%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.0%

Home Over 2.566.1%

Home 3+ Goals66.1%

Away Over 0.560.1%

Away Exactly 039.0%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 1.523.7%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Exactly 217.0%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Away Over 2.56.8%

Away 3+ Goals6.8%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)66.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home66.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)51.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away51.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)47.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home47.4%

Home to win by 3+47.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)32.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away32.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 219.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 116.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 14.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.4%

Away to win by 21.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.571.2%

BTTS & Over 2.554.2%

Home & BTTS45.2%

Home & No BTTS37.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.526.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.7%

Home & Under 2.511.7%

Draw & BTTS8.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.7%

Away & Over 2.54.5%

Away & BTTS4.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Home Win65.7%

HT/FT Home/Home62.6%

HT Over 1.558.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score27.0%

HT Draw24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.4%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT Away Win9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Away/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners90.0%

Under 10.5 Corners83.2%

Under 9.5 Corners73.7%

Home Most Corners63.8%

Under 8.5 Corners61.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Over 8.5 Corners38.4%

Over 9.5 Corners26.3%

Away Most Corners23.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners21.3%

Over 10.5 Corners16.8%

Over 11.5 Corners10.0%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards94.6%

Under 4.5 Cards86.8%

Under 3.5 Cards72.1%

Under 2.5 Cards50.2%

Over 2.5 Cards49.8%

Over 3.5 Cards27.9%

Over 4.5 Cards13.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards10.7%

Over 5.5 Cards5.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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