Germany · 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

FC St. Pauli 10.2% Draw 39.0% 1. FC Kaiserslautern 50.8%

Over 2.5 - 14% BTTS - 17%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 28.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 2 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.60 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

28.1%

Exact-score model probability

FC St. Pauli

D D L L L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

1. FC Kaiserslautern

D D W W L

Form 2-2-1 Goals 3:1 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 0.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC St. Pauli win10.2%

Draw39.0%

1. FC Kaiserslautern win50.8%

Over 1.5 goals37.3%

Over 2.5 goals13.6%

Over 3.5 goals4.0%

Both teams to score17.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

88.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)88.8%

Draw No Bet - Away82.2%

Home or Away (12)63.2%

Away Win51.9%

Home or Draw (1X)48.1%

Draw36.8%

Exactly 1 Goal35.7%

Both Halves Over 0.521.9%

Goal in Both Halves21.9%

Draw No Bet - Home17.8%

Home Win11.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.8%

Under 4.5 Goals99.0%

Under 3.5 Goals96.0%

Under 2.5 Goals86.4%

Over 0.5 Goals71.9%

1-3 Goals67.9%

Under 1.5 Goals63.7%

1-2 Goals58.3%

Total Goals Even53.9%

Total Goals Odd46.1%

Over 1.5 Goals36.3%

2-4 Goals35.3%

2-3 Goals32.3%

Under 0.5 Goals28.1%

Exactly 0 Goals28.1%

Exactly 2 Goals22.7%

Over 2.5 Goals13.6%

3-4 Goals12.7%

Exactly 3 Goals9.6%

Over 3.5 Goals4.0%

4+ Goals4.0%

Over 4.5 Goals1.0%

Over 5.5 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)83.9%

Away Clean Sheet74.1%

Away Team to Score62.1%

Away Win to Nil46.0%

Home Clean Sheet37.9%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)16.1%

Home Win to Nil9.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 074.1%

Away Over 0.562.1%

Away Exactly 037.9%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Away Over 1.525.4%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Exactly 217.9%

Away Over 2.57.5%

Away 3+ Goals7.5%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)51.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)48.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home48.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw31.4%

Away to win by 131.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 214.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.7%

Home to win by 19.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.0%

Away to win by 3+6.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

Home to win by 21.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.578.2%

Away & No BTTS46.0%

Away & Under 2.540.5%

Draw & Under 2.536.2%

Away & Over 2.511.5%

Home & No BTTS9.8%

Home & Under 2.59.7%

Draw & BTTS8.8%

BTTS & Under 2.58.2%

BTTS & Over 2.57.9%

Away & BTTS5.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.7%

Home & Over 2.51.6%

Home & BTTS1.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.588.7%

HT Draw59.8%

HT Under 0.556.4%

HT Over 0.543.6%

Equal Goals Each Half40.4%

2nd Half More Goals33.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw32.4%

HT Away Win31.8%

HT/FT Away/Away29.4%

1st Half More Goals25.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away21.8%

HT Over 1.511.3%

HT Home Win8.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.6%

HT/FT Home/Home5.5%

HT Both Teams Score4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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