Germany · 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

FC St. Pauli 7.6% Draw 9.2% 1. FC Nürnberg 83.2%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-4 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1. FC Nürnberg: 2 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.80 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

FC St. Pauli

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

1. FC Nürnberg

W W D W D

Form 3-2-0 Goals 14:6 Scored/game 2.8 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC St. Pauli win7.6%

Draw9.2%

1. FC Nürnberg win83.2%

Over 1.5 goals98.5%

Over 2.5 goals94.0%

Over 3.5 goals85.1%

Both teams to score78.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Away

91.4%

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.3%

Goal in Both Halves

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away91.4%

Both Halves Over 0.590.3%

Goal in Both Halves90.3%

Draw or Away (X2)88.4%

Home or Away (12)87.5%

Away Win80.0%

Home or Draw (1X)16.0%

Draw No Bet - Home8.6%

Draw8.5%

Home Win7.5%

Exactly 1 Goal1.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals90.2%

Over 3.5 Goals81.7%

4+ Goals81.7%

Over 4.5 Goals68.7%

Over 5.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals47.1%

Under 4.5 Goals31.3%

2-4 Goals25.7%

3-4 Goals21.5%

Under 3.5 Goals18.3%

1-3 Goals14.1%

2-3 Goals12.7%

Under 2.5 Goals9.8%

Exactly 3 Goals8.5%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

1-2 Goals5.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 2 Goals4.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score76.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.4%

Away Clean Sheet19.5%

Away Win to Nil19.3%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Over 0.576.4%

Home Over 1.545.3%

Home Exactly 131.1%

Home Exactly 224.8%

Home Over 2.520.6%

Home 3+ Goals20.6%

Home Exactly 019.5%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)85.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)80.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home75.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)67.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away67.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home60.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)51.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away51.3%

Away to win by 3+51.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)44.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home44.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away35.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home28.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away21.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home16.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.9%

Away to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw14.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 112.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away10.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw10.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.5%

Home to win by 14.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.0%

Home to win by 22.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.0%

Home to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.576.7%

BTTS & Over 2.573.9%

Away & BTTS60.7%

Away & No BTTS19.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.2%

Draw & BTTS8.2%

Home & Over 2.56.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

Home & BTTS6.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Draw & Under 2.51.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Home & No BTTS0.9%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.5%

HT Over 1.575.8%

HT Away Win68.0%

HT/FT Away/Away64.3%

2nd Half More Goals51.4%

HT Both Teams Score44.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.524.2%

HT Draw19.8%

Equal Goals Each Half16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.3%

HT Home Win12.2%

HT Under 0.56.5%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Home/Home4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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