Germany · 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

76% confidence

FC St. Pauli 9.6% Draw 14.3% Karlsruher SC 76.1%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Karlsruher SC: 2 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

FC St. Pauli

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Karlsruher SC

D W L D W

Form 2-2-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC St. Pauli win9.6%

Draw14.3%

Karlsruher SC win76.1%

Over 1.5 goals93.2%

Over 2.5 goals79.8%

Over 3.5 goals61.5%

Both teams to score65.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

89.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.3%

Draw No Bet - Away88.2%

Home or Away (12)86.5%

Both Halves Over 0.577.2%

Goal in Both Halves77.2%

Away Win76.3%

Home or Draw (1X)23.2%

Draw13.0%

Draw No Bet - Home11.8%

Home Win10.2%

Exactly 1 Goal6.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals92.1%

Over 2.5 Goals79.4%

Under 5.5 Goals74.7%

Over 3.5 Goals61.2%

4+ Goals61.2%

Under 4.5 Goals58.2%

2-4 Goals50.3%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 4.5 Goals41.8%

Under 3.5 Goals38.8%

3-4 Goals37.5%

1-3 Goals36.9%

2-3 Goals30.9%

Over 5.5 Goals25.3%

Under 2.5 Goals20.6%

1-2 Goals18.7%

Exactly 3 Goals18.2%

Exactly 2 Goals12.8%

Under 1.5 Goals7.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.2%

Home Team to Score67.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.5%

Away Clean Sheet32.1%

Away Win to Nil30.7%

Home Clean Sheet4.3%

Home Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.2%

Away Over 1.581.5%

Home Over 0.567.4%

Away Over 2.560.2%

Away 3+ Goals60.2%

Home Exactly 136.3%

Home Exactly 032.1%

Home Over 1.531.1%

Away Exactly 221.4%

Home Exactly 220.6%

Away Exactly 113.6%

Home Over 2.510.6%

Home 3+ Goals10.6%

Away Exactly 04.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home77.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)76.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home61.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)57.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away57.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)41.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home41.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)38.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away38.2%

Away to win by 3+38.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home23.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away21.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.7%

Away to win by 219.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.7%

Home to win by 16.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.6%

Home to win by 22.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.0%

Home to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.565.0%

BTTS & Over 2.559.5%

Away & BTTS45.6%

Away & No BTTS30.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.2%

Draw & BTTS11.6%

Away & Under 2.511.3%

Home & Over 2.57.7%

Home & BTTS7.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

Draw & Under 2.56.4%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Home & No BTTS2.9%

Home & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.3%

HT Away Win59.4%

HT Over 1.557.2%

HT/FT Away/Away55.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.1%

HT Under 1.542.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score30.2%

HT Draw27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.5%

HT Under 0.514.7%

HT Home Win13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Home/Home5.6%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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