UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Vaduz vs Inter Turku

Kick-off 18:30 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

FC Vaduz 60.8% Draw 22.5% Inter Turku 16.7%

Over 2.5 - 62% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Inter Turku: 6 points versus 11 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.93 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

FC Vaduz

L W W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 7:2 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Inter Turku

W W D W D

Form 3-2-0 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 0.8

Head to head · last 1

FC Vaduz 0wins ·0 draws ·Inter Turku 1wins

FC Vaduz 1-2 Inter TurkuAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Vaduz win60.8%

Draw22.5%

Inter Turku win16.7%

Over 1.5 goals84.3%

Over 2.5 goals62.3%

Over 3.5 goals40.0%

Both teams to score59.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.2%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)82.0%

Home or Away (12)79.9%

Draw No Bet - Home77.6%

Both Halves Over 0.563.4%

Goal in Both Halves63.4%

Home Win62.0%

Draw or Away (X2)38.0%

Draw No Bet - Away22.4%

Draw20.1%

Away Win17.9%

Exactly 1 Goal12.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.9%

Under 5.5 Goals89.3%

Over 1.5 Goals83.0%

Under 4.5 Goals77.9%

Over 2.5 Goals62.3%

2-4 Goals60.9%

Under 3.5 Goals60.0%

1-3 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.0%

3-4 Goals40.1%

Over 3.5 Goals40.0%

4+ Goals40.0%

Under 2.5 Goals37.7%

1-2 Goals33.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.8%

Under 1.5 Goals17.0%

Over 5.5 Goals10.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.1%

Exactly 0 Goals4.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.3%

Away Team to Score65.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.1%

Home Clean Sheet34.4%

Home Win to Nil30.4%

Away Clean Sheet11.7%

Away Win to Nil7.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.3%

Away Over 0.565.6%

Home Over 1.563.2%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Over 2.536.3%

Home 3+ Goals36.3%

Away Exactly 034.4%

Away Over 1.528.9%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 125.1%

Away Exactly 219.6%

Home Exactly 011.7%

Away Over 2.59.3%

Away 3+ Goals9.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.1%

Home to win by 123.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.2%

Home to win by 3+20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 218.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 111.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.6%

Away to win by 24.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.7%

Home & Over 2.544.1%

Home & BTTS31.6%

Home & No BTTS30.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.5%

Home & Under 2.517.9%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.6%

Draw & Under 2.513.2%

Away & Over 2.511.3%

Away & BTTS10.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.2%

Away & No BTTS7.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Away & Under 2.56.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.5%

HT Under 1.557.6%

HT Home Win46.4%

2nd Half More Goals45.3%

HT Over 1.542.4%

HT/FT Home/Home40.5%

HT Draw35.8%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Both Teams Score23.6%

HT Under 0.523.5%

Equal Goals Each Half23.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.1%

HT Away Win17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.1%

HT/FT Away/Away10.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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