Turkey · Süper Lig

Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor

Kick-off 17:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Fenerbahçe 30.9% Draw 32.2% Alanyaspor 36.9%

Over 2.5 - 39% BTTS - 47%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Alanyaspor: 8 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.3%

Exact-score model probability

Fenerbahçe

L D W D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Alanyaspor

W W D L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fenerbahçe win30.9%

Draw32.2%

Alanyaspor win36.9%

Over 1.5 goals67.3%

Over 2.5 goals38.8%

Over 3.5 goals18.9%

Both teams to score47.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

89.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)71.3%

Draw or Away (X2)67.3%

Home or Draw (1X)61.4%

Draw No Bet - Away54.2%

Draw No Bet - Home45.8%

Both Halves Over 0.545.0%

Goal in Both Halves45.0%

Away Win38.6%

Home Win32.7%

Draw28.7%

Exactly 1 Goal23.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.3%

Under 4.5 Goals92.3%

Over 0.5 Goals89.4%

Under 3.5 Goals81.1%

1-3 Goals70.5%

Over 1.5 Goals65.5%

Under 2.5 Goals61.2%

2-4 Goals57.8%

Total Goals Even50.6%

1-2 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

2-3 Goals46.7%

Over 2.5 Goals38.8%

Under 1.5 Goals34.5%

3-4 Goals31.1%

Exactly 2 Goals26.7%

Exactly 3 Goals19.9%

Over 3.5 Goals18.9%

4+ Goals18.9%

Under 0.5 Goals10.6%

Exactly 0 Goals10.6%

Over 4.5 Goals7.7%

Over 5.5 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score69.3%

Home Team to Score65.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)54.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)45.3%

Away Clean Sheet34.6%

Home Clean Sheet30.7%

Away Win to Nil24.0%

Home Win to Nil20.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.569.3%

Home Over 0.565.4%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Home Exactly 034.6%

Away Over 1.533.0%

Away Exactly 030.7%

Home Over 1.528.7%

Away Exactly 221.4%

Home Exactly 219.5%

Away Over 2.511.6%

Away 3+ Goals11.6%

Home Over 2.59.2%

Home 3+ Goals9.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.2%

Away to win by 122.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 120.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 211.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.9%

Home to win by 28.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.3%

Away to win by 3+5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.8%

Home to win by 3+3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.547.9%

BTTS & Over 2.532.0%

Draw & Under 2.524.0%

Away & No BTTS24.0%

Home & No BTTS20.1%

Away & Under 2.520.0%

Away & Over 2.518.6%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Home & Under 2.517.3%

Home & Over 2.515.4%

Away & BTTS14.6%

BTTS & Under 2.513.3%

Home & BTTS12.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.573.3%

HT Over 0.563.5%

HT Draw46.3%

2nd Half More Goals41.3%

HT Under 0.536.5%

1st Half More Goals30.1%

HT Away Win28.6%

Equal Goals Each Half28.6%

HT Over 1.526.7%

HT Home Win25.0%

HT/FT Away/Away22.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw19.1%

HT/FT Home/Home18.4%

HT Both Teams Score15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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