UEFA Champions League

Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Sep 10

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Fenerbahçe 11.5% Draw 17.8% AS Roma 70.7%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to AS Roma: 11 points versus 18 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Fenerbahçe

W D L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

AS Roma

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 17:3 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fenerbahçe win11.5%

Draw17.8%

AS Roma win70.7%

Over 1.5 goals88.7%

Over 2.5 goals70.4%

Over 3.5 goals49.3%

Both teams to score60.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

87.7%

Draw or Away (X2)

87.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)87.4%

Draw No Bet - Away85.2%

Home or Away (12)83.9%

Away Win71.4%

Both Halves Over 0.569.7%

Goal in Both Halves69.7%

Home or Draw (1X)28.4%

Draw16.0%

Draw No Bet - Home14.8%

Home Win12.4%

Exactly 1 Goal9.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.7%

Under 5.5 Goals84.0%

Over 2.5 Goals70.3%

Under 4.5 Goals70.0%

2-4 Goals57.7%

Under 3.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.2%

4+ Goals49.2%

1-3 Goals48.0%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.5%

Over 4.5 Goals30.0%

Under 2.5 Goals29.7%

1-2 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.4%

Over 5.5 Goals16.0%

Under 1.5 Goals12.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.6%

Home Team to Score63.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.8%

Away Clean Sheet36.0%

Away Win to Nil33.3%

Home Clean Sheet7.3%

Home Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.6%

Away Over 1.573.5%

Home Over 0.563.9%

Away Over 2.548.6%

Away 3+ Goals48.6%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 036.0%

Home Over 1.527.2%

Away Exactly 225.0%

Away Exactly 119.1%

Home Exactly 218.7%

Home Over 2.58.4%

Home 3+ Goals8.4%

Away Exactly 07.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away87.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)71.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)69.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home69.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)50.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away50.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)49.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home49.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)30.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away30.0%

Away to win by 3+30.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)28.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home28.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.2%

Away to win by 121.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 220.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.3%

Home to win by 18.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.1%

Home to win by 23.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.1%

Home to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.555.6%

BTTS & Over 2.552.2%

Away & BTTS38.1%

Away & No BTTS33.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.1%

Away & Under 2.515.9%

Draw & BTTS13.4%

Draw & Under 2.59.6%

Home & Over 2.58.4%

Home & BTTS7.8%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.3%

Home & No BTTS4.6%

Home & Under 2.54.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.6%

HT Away Win54.1%

HT Under 1.551.2%

HT/FT Away/Away49.3%

HT Over 1.548.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw31.4%

HT Both Teams Score25.5%

Equal Goals Each Half21.5%

HT Under 0.519.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.5%

HT Home Win14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Home/Home6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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