UEFA Champions League

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool

Kick-off 18:45 · Wed, Nov 4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Fenerbahçe 25.1% Draw 21.3% Liverpool 53.6%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Liverpool: 6 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

Fenerbahçe

D L D W D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:13 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.17

Liverpool

L W W W W L

Form 4-0-2 Goals 14:11 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fenerbahçe win25.1%

Draw21.3%

Liverpool win53.6%

Over 1.5 goals91.8%

Over 2.5 goals76.3%

Over 3.5 goals56.8%

Both teams to score73.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.6%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.5%

Both Halves Over 0.574.4%

Goal in Both Halves74.4%

Draw or Away (X2)73.9%

Draw No Bet - Away67.7%

Away Win54.5%

Home or Draw (1X)45.4%

Draw No Bet - Home32.3%

Home Win26.0%

Draw19.4%

Exactly 1 Goal7.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals90.8%

Under 5.5 Goals78.4%

Over 2.5 Goals76.3%

Under 4.5 Goals62.7%

Over 3.5 Goals56.8%

4+ Goals56.8%

2-4 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals43.2%

1-3 Goals41.3%

3-4 Goals39.0%

Over 4.5 Goals37.3%

2-3 Goals34.0%

Under 2.5 Goals23.7%

1-2 Goals21.8%

Over 5.5 Goals21.6%

Exactly 3 Goals19.5%

Exactly 2 Goals14.6%

Under 1.5 Goals9.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.7%

Home Team to Score80.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.1%

Away Clean Sheet19.6%

Away Win to Nil17.8%

Home Clean Sheet9.2%

Home Win to Nil7.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.7%

Home Over 0.580.3%

Away Over 1.568.7%

Home Over 1.548.4%

Away Over 2.542.5%

Away 3+ Goals42.5%

Home Exactly 131.9%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Home Over 2.522.4%

Home 3+ Goals22.4%

Away Exactly 122.0%

Home Exactly 019.6%

Away Exactly 09.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home81.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)65.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home65.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)54.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)45.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home45.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away34.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 120.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.3%

Away to win by 3+18.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.0%

Away to win by 216.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.8%

Home to win by 113.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.5%

Home to win by 27.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.7%

Home to win by 3+4.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.565.9%

Away & Over 2.545.0%

Away & BTTS36.7%

Home & Over 2.520.6%

Home & BTTS18.6%

Away & No BTTS17.8%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.6%

Draw & Over 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.4%

Away & Under 2.59.5%

Draw & Under 2.58.8%

Home & No BTTS7.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Home & Under 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.6%

HT Over 1.553.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.5%

HT Under 1.546.1%

HT Away Win43.2%

HT/FT Away/Away35.5%

HT Both Teams Score34.2%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw32.1%

HT Home Win24.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT Under 0.516.4%

HT/FT Home/Home15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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