UEFA Europa League

Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze

Kick-off 19:15 · Wed, Aug 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home Win

85% confidence

Ferencvarosi TC 85.0% Draw 12.0% Gornik Zabrze 3.0%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 27%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Strong form

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 54%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

High scoring rate

80%

Home Clean Sheet

Defensive strength

72%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Ferencvarosi TC's strong form and high scoring rate at home give them an edge. Gornik Zabrze's struggles to score away from home are a concern. With Ferencvarosi TC averaging 2.33 goals per game, their attack is a significant threat. Ferencvarosi TC's defensive strength, having kept a clean sheet in one of their last three matches, is also notable.

💡

Top Tip

Ferencvarosi TC's strong home record makes them a good bet to win

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 17.6%, based on the goal model.

Strong form

Numbers behind this Home Win

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

54%

Market does not fully agree

Ferencvarosi TC

W W W

Form 3-0-0 Goals 7:2 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Gornik Zabrze

D L

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ferencvarosi TC win85.0%

Draw12.0%

Gornik Zabrze win3.0%

Over 1.5 goals80.9%

Over 2.5 goals58.0%

Over 3.5 goals35.5%

Both teams to score27.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.6%

Home or Away (12)

89.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)96.9%

Draw No Bet - Home96.8%

Home or Away (12)89.5%

Home Win86.6%

Both Halves Over 0.560.1%

Goal in Both Halves60.1%

Exactly 1 Goal14.8%

Draw or Away (X2)13.2%

Draw10.4%

Draw No Bet - Away3.2%

Away Win2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.9%

Under 5.5 Goals91.6%

Under 4.5 Goals81.4%

Over 1.5 Goals80.1%

Under 3.5 Goals64.5%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.5%

Over 2.5 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals44.7%

Under 2.5 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals39.3%

1-2 Goals37.1%

Over 3.5 Goals35.5%

4+ Goals35.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals19.9%

Over 4.5 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals5.1%

Exactly 0 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.7%

Home Clean Sheet71.5%

Home Win to Nil66.6%

Away Team to Score28.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.3%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Home Over 1.574.6%

Away Exactly 071.5%

Home Over 2.550.0%

Home 3+ Goals50.0%

Away Over 0.528.3%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Away Exactly 123.8%

Home Exactly 118.3%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Away Over 1.54.4%

Away Exactly 24.0%

Away Over 2.50.5%

Away 3+ Goals0.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)76.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away76.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)66.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home66.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.1%

Home to win by 3+43.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away33.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home23.5%

Home to win by 223.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 120.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 12.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 20.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS66.6%

Home & Over 2.555.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.535.9%

Home & Under 2.530.8%

BTTS & Over 2.522.0%

Home & BTTS19.9%

Draw & Under 2.59.3%

Draw & BTTS5.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Draw & Over 2.51.1%

Away & Over 2.51.0%

Away & BTTS0.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.3%

HT Home Win64.9%

HT/FT Home/Home63.3%

HT Under 1.560.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT Over 1.539.3%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Draw30.6%

HT Under 0.525.7%

Equal Goals Each Half23.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.8%

HT Both Teams Score9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT Away Win4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

HT/FT Away/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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