UEFA Europa League

Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Ferencvarosi TC 85.6% Draw 11.0% Trabzonspor 3.4%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 41%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 12.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Ferencvarosi TC: 14 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.9%

Exact-score model probability

Ferencvarosi TC

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 10:4 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Trabzonspor

L D L W D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 1.4

Head to head · last 1

Ferencvarosi TC 1wins ·0 draws ·Trabzonspor 0wins

Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 TrabzonsporAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ferencvarosi TC win85.6%

Draw11.0%

Trabzonspor win3.4%

Over 1.5 goals87.8%

Over 2.5 goals69.3%

Over 3.5 goals47.9%

Both teams to score40.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

89.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

86.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)95.6%

Draw No Bet - Home95.5%

Home or Away (12)89.9%

Home Win85.8%

Both Halves Over 0.568.9%

Goal in Both Halves68.9%

Draw or Away (X2)13.8%

Exactly 1 Goal9.9%

Draw9.7%

Draw No Bet - Away4.5%

Away Win4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals86.9%

Under 5.5 Goals85.0%

Under 4.5 Goals71.3%

Over 2.5 Goals69.0%

2-4 Goals58.2%

Under 3.5 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

1-3 Goals49.1%

Over 3.5 Goals47.7%

4+ Goals47.7%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.1%

Under 2.5 Goals31.0%

Over 4.5 Goals28.7%

1-2 Goals27.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals15.0%

Under 1.5 Goals13.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)60.0%

Home Clean Sheet57.5%

Home Win to Nil54.7%

Away Team to Score42.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)40.0%

Away Clean Sheet4.8%

Away Win to Nil2.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.580.2%

Home Over 2.558.1%

Home 3+ Goals58.1%

Away Exactly 057.5%

Away Over 0.542.1%

Away Exactly 131.6%

Home Exactly 222.1%

Home Exactly 114.6%

Away Over 1.510.5%

Away Exactly 28.7%

Home Exactly 04.8%

Away Over 2.51.8%

Away 3+ Goals1.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)85.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away72.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)68.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home68.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away53.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)46.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home46.6%

Home to win by 3+46.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away31.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home27.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.5%

Home to win by 221.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 13.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.7%

Away to win by 20.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.564.6%

Home & No BTTS54.7%

BTTS & Over 2.535.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.533.6%

Home & BTTS31.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.9%

Home & Under 2.521.2%

Draw & Under 2.57.4%

Draw & BTTS6.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Draw & Over 2.52.3%

Away & Over 2.52.1%

Away & BTTS2.0%

Away & No BTTS2.0%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.1%

HT Home Win66.2%

HT/FT Home/Home64.1%

HT Under 1.552.1%

HT Over 1.547.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.519.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.6%

HT Both Teams Score16.3%

HT Away Win6.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Away/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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