UEFA Europa League

Ferencvarosi TC vs Twente

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Ferencvarosi TC 85.8% Draw 8.3% Twente 5.9%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 59%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Ferencvarosi TC: 9 points versus 8 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

59%

Market does not fully agree

Ferencvarosi TC

W W W

Form 3-0-0 Goals 7:2 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Twente

L L W D D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 11:11 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Ferencvarosi TC 1wins ·0 draws ·Twente 0wins

Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 TwenteJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ferencvarosi TC win85.8%

Draw8.3%

Twente win5.9%

Over 1.5 goals98.2%

Over 2.5 goals93.0%

Over 3.5 goals83.2%

Both teams to score74.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

90.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home93.3%

Home or Draw (1X)90.1%

Both Halves Over 0.589.3%

Goal in Both Halves89.3%

Home or Away (12)88.4%

Home Win82.5%

Draw or Away (X2)13.4%

Draw7.5%

Draw No Bet - Away6.7%

Away Win5.9%

Exactly 1 Goal1.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.1%

Over 2.5 Goals89.3%

Over 3.5 Goals79.8%

4+ Goals79.8%

Over 4.5 Goals65.9%

Under 5.5 Goals50.4%

Over 5.5 Goals49.6%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals34.1%

2-4 Goals28.1%

3-4 Goals23.3%

Under 3.5 Goals20.2%

1-3 Goals15.9%

2-3 Goals14.2%

Under 2.5 Goals10.7%

Exactly 3 Goals9.4%

1-2 Goals6.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.9%

Exactly 2 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score72.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.8%

Home Clean Sheet24.0%

Home Win to Nil23.7%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.572.0%

Away Over 1.538.7%

Away Exactly 133.3%

Away Exactly 024.0%

Away Exactly 223.1%

Away Over 2.515.7%

Away 3+ Goals15.7%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)84.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away72.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)70.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home70.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away58.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)54.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home54.7%

Home to win by 3+54.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)41.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away41.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home38.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)25.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away25.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home23.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 112.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 13.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.5%

Away to win by 21.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.578.5%

BTTS & Over 2.569.4%

Home & BTTS58.8%

Home & No BTTS23.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.8%

Draw & BTTS7.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.5%

Away & Over 2.55.2%

Away & BTTS5.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Home & Under 2.54.1%

Draw & Under 2.52.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Away & No BTTS0.8%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.9%

HT Over 1.574.2%

HT Home Win70.3%

HT/FT Home/Home67.2%

2nd Half More Goals51.1%

HT Both Teams Score40.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.525.8%

HT Draw19.3%

Equal Goals Each Half16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT Away Win10.4%

HT Under 0.57.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Away3.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Ferencvarosi TC win45%

Draw45%

Twente win10%

AdviceWinner : Ferencvarosi TC

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions