Netherlands · Eredivisie

Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89% confidence

Feyenoord 89.4% Draw 7.5% ADO Den Haag 2.1%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Feyenoord: 14 points versus 0 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Feyenoord

W D W W D W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

ADO Den Haag

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 3:19 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 3.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Feyenoord win89.4%

Draw7.5%

ADO Den Haag win2.1%

Over 1.5 goals90.4%

Over 2.5 goals92.1%

Over 3.5 goals56.2%

Both teams to score69.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home94.7%

Home or Draw (1X)91.3%

Home or Away (12)89.2%

Both Halves Over 0.588.4%

Goal in Both Halves88.4%

Home Win84.5%

Draw or Away (X2)11.4%

Draw6.7%

Draw No Bet - Away5.3%

Away Win4.7%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.8%

Over 2.5 Goals88.4%

Over 3.5 Goals78.2%

4+ Goals78.2%

Over 4.5 Goals63.5%

Under 5.5 Goals53.2%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 5.5 Goals46.8%

Under 4.5 Goals36.5%

2-4 Goals30.2%

3-4 Goals24.9%

Under 3.5 Goals21.8%

1-3 Goals17.5%

2-3 Goals15.6%

Under 2.5 Goals11.6%

Exactly 3 Goals10.2%

1-2 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals6.2%

Exactly 2 Goals5.4%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score67.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.2%

Home Clean Sheet28.4%

Home Win to Nil28.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.567.6%

Away Exactly 134.6%

Away Over 1.533.0%

Away Exactly 028.4%

Away Exactly 221.1%

Away Over 2.511.9%

Away 3+ Goals11.9%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)84.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)82.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)73.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home73.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away70.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)57.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home57.6%

Home to win by 3+57.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)55.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away55.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)40.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home40.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)38.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away38.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)25.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home25.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away22.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 215.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)13.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home13.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 111.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 13.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.1%

Away to win by 21.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.579.7%

BTTS & Over 2.565.0%

Home & BTTS56.5%

Home & No BTTS28.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.4%

Draw & BTTS6.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Home & Under 2.54.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Away & Over 2.54.0%

Away & BTTS3.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS0.8%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.3%

HT Over 1.572.7%

HT Home Win72.3%

HT/FT Home/Home69.6%

2nd Half More Goals50.8%

HT Both Teams Score36.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.3%

HT Draw18.8%

Equal Goals Each Half16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT Away Win8.9%

HT Under 0.57.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Away/Away2.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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