Netherlands · Eredivisie

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

76% confidence

Feyenoord 76.3% Draw 15.5% Fortuna Sittard 7.9%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 90%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Feyenoord: 13 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Feyenoord

D L W W W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 15:7 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Fortuna Sittard

W D D W L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

Feyenoord 4wins ·1 draws ·Fortuna Sittard 0wins

Feyenoord 2-1 Fortuna SittardMay 3, 2026

Feyenoord 2-0 Fortuna SittardSep 17, 2025

Feyenoord 2-0 Fortuna SittardApr 12, 2025

Feyenoord 1-1 Fortuna SittardNov 30, 2024

Feyenoord 1-0 Fortuna SittardApr 14, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Feyenoord win76.3%

Draw15.5%

Fortuna Sittard win7.9%

Over 1.5 goals88.1%

Over 2.5 goals96.5%

Over 3.5 goals48.4%

Both teams to score89.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.4%

Home or Draw (1X)84.1%

Both Halves Over 0.584.0%

Goal in Both Halves84.0%

Draw No Bet - Home82.4%

Home Win70.3%

Draw or Away (X2)28.9%

Draw No Bet - Away17.6%

Away Win15.1%

Draw13.8%

Exactly 1 Goal3.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals87.0%

Over 3.5 Goals73.1%

4+ Goals73.1%

Under 5.5 Goals61.9%

Over 4.5 Goals55.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals44.3%

2-4 Goals39.6%

Over 5.5 Goals38.1%

3-4 Goals31.3%

Under 3.5 Goals26.9%

1-3 Goals25.4%

2-3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 3 Goals13.9%

Under 2.5 Goals13.0%

1-2 Goals11.6%

Exactly 2 Goals8.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score79.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.8%

Home Clean Sheet19.3%

Home Win to Nil18.6%

Away Clean Sheet3.4%

Away Win to Nil2.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.584.4%

Away Over 0.579.9%

Home Over 2.565.1%

Home 3+ Goals65.1%

Away Over 1.548.3%

Away Exactly 131.6%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Away Over 2.522.5%

Away 3+ Goals22.5%

Home Exactly 219.4%

Away Exactly 019.3%

Home Exactly 111.4%

Home Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)52.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home52.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)46.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away46.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.8%

Home to win by 3+34.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 117.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 18.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.2%

Away to win by 24.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.4%

Away to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.6%

Home & Over 2.564.3%

Home & BTTS51.7%

Home & No BTTS18.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.4%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

Away & Over 2.513.1%

Away & BTTS12.4%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Home & Under 2.56.0%

Draw & Under 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Away & No BTTS2.7%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.6%

HT Over 1.566.1%

HT Home Win56.2%

HT/FT Home/Home50.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.7%

HT Both Teams Score40.8%

HT Under 1.533.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.8%

HT Away Win18.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.5%

HT Under 0.510.4%

HT/FT Away/Away8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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