Netherlands · Eredivisie

Feyenoord vs Utrecht

Kick-off 11:15 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Feyenoord 65.1% Draw 20.3% Utrecht 14.5%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.7%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Feyenoord: 11 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.7%

Exact-score model probability

Feyenoord

W L W D W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 20:12 Scored/game 3.33 Conceded/game 2

Utrecht

W L L D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 9:19 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 3.17

Head to head · last 5

Feyenoord 4wins ·0 draws ·Utrecht 1wins

Feyenoord 1-0 UtrechtFeb 8, 2026

Feyenoord 3-2 UtrechtOct 5, 2025

Feyenoord 1-2 UtrechtJan 12, 2025

Feyenoord 2-0 UtrechtOct 27, 2024

Feyenoord 4-2 UtrechtMar 31, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Feyenoord win65.1%

Draw20.3%

Utrecht win14.5%

Over 1.5 goals86.7%

Over 2.5 goals96.3%

Over 3.5 goals44.8%

Both teams to score90.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.4%

Goal in Both Halves88.4%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Home or Draw (1X)80.8%

Draw No Bet - Home79.0%

Home Win67.1%

Draw or Away (X2)31.5%

Draw No Bet - Away21.0%

Away Win17.8%

Draw13.7%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals91.1%

Over 3.5 Goals80.8%

4+ Goals80.8%

Over 4.5 Goals66.2%

Under 5.5 Goals50.5%

Over 5.5 Goals49.5%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Under 4.5 Goals33.8%

2-4 Goals30.2%

3-4 Goals24.8%

Under 3.5 Goals19.2%

1-3 Goals17.5%

2-3 Goals15.6%

Exactly 3 Goals10.2%

Under 2.5 Goals8.9%

1-2 Goals7.2%

Exactly 2 Goals5.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score85.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.5%

Home Clean Sheet12.9%

Home Win to Nil12.6%

Away Clean Sheet2.5%

Away Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.9%

Away Over 0.585.7%

Home Over 2.569.9%

Home 3+ Goals69.9%

Away Over 1.559.4%

Away Over 2.532.7%

Away 3+ Goals32.7%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 126.3%

Home Exactly 217.0%

Away Exactly 012.9%

Home Exactly 19.2%

Home Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.8%

Home to win by 3+33.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 216.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.2%

Away to win by 19.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.6%

Away to win by 3+3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.1%

Home & Over 2.563.7%

Home & BTTS54.5%

Away & Over 2.516.5%

Away & BTTS15.6%

Draw & BTTS13.4%

Home & No BTTS12.6%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.8%

BTTS & Under 2.52.5%

Away & No BTTS2.2%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.4%

HT Over 1.572.8%

HT Home Win55.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.9%

HT Both Teams Score48.5%

HT/FT Home/Home48.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.2%

HT Draw24.4%

HT Away Win20.7%

Equal Goals Each Half16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.2%

HT/FT Away/Away10.5%

HT Under 0.57.6%

HT/FT Away/Home5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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