Italy · Serie A

Fiorentina vs Juventus

Full time · 2:2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Fiorentina 26.2% Draw 27.1% Juventus 46.7%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 74%

✓ Pick was correct (2:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Juventus: 5 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Fiorentina

W D L L L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Juventus

W L W L D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Fiorentina 2wins ·2 draws ·Juventus 1wins

Fiorentina 2-0 JuventusMay 17, 2026

Fiorentina 1-1 JuventusNov 22, 2025

Fiorentina 3-0 JuventusMar 16, 2025

Fiorentina 2-2 JuventusDec 29, 2024

Fiorentina 0-1 JuventusApr 7, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fiorentina win26.2%

Draw27.1%

Juventus win46.7%

Over 1.5 goals68.7%

Over 2.5 goals80.2%

Over 3.5 goals21.7%

Both teams to score74.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.2%

Away Team to Score

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.9%

Draw or Away (X2)73.4%

Both Halves Over 0.568.5%

Goal in Both Halves68.5%

Draw No Bet - Away66.4%

Away Win52.4%

Home or Draw (1X)47.5%

Draw No Bet - Home33.6%

Home Win26.5%

Draw21.0%

Exactly 1 Goal10.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals86.9%

Under 5.5 Goals85.1%

Under 4.5 Goals71.6%

Over 2.5 Goals68.8%

2-4 Goals58.5%

Under 3.5 Goals52.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.7%

Over 3.5 Goals47.4%

4+ Goals47.4%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.5%

Under 2.5 Goals31.2%

Over 4.5 Goals28.4%

1-2 Goals28.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.4%

Exactly 2 Goals18.1%

Over 5.5 Goals14.9%

Under 1.5 Goals13.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score87.7%

Home Team to Score76.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.8%

Away Clean Sheet23.4%

Away Win to Nil20.5%

Home Clean Sheet12.3%

Home Win to Nil9.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.587.7%

Home Over 0.576.6%

Away Over 1.562.0%

Home Over 1.542.6%

Away Over 2.535.0%

Away 3+ Goals35.0%

Home Exactly 134.0%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 125.7%

Home Exactly 224.7%

Home Exactly 023.4%

Home Over 2.517.9%

Home 3+ Goals17.9%

Away Exactly 012.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)68.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home68.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.2%

Away to win by 121.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 215.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.4%

Away to win by 3+15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.5%

Home to win by 27.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.3%

Home to win by 3+4.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.5%

Away & Over 2.540.1%

Away & BTTS31.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.4%

Away & No BTTS20.5%

Home & Over 2.519.3%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Home & BTTS17.1%

Away & Under 2.512.3%

Draw & Under 2.511.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.4%

Draw & Over 2.59.4%

Home & No BTTS9.4%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Home & Under 2.57.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.8%

HT Under 1.552.5%

HT Over 1.547.5%

2nd Half More Goals46.3%

HT Away Win40.9%

HT Draw34.8%

HT/FT Away/Away33.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score29.3%

HT Home Win24.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.8%

HT Under 0.520.2%

HT/FT Home/Home15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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