UEFA Europa Conference League

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

FK Crvena Zvezda 67.7% Draw 17.0% FC Copenhagen 15.3%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Copenhagen: 9 points versus 11 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.8%

Exact-score model probability

FK Crvena Zvezda

W L L W W

Form 3-0-2 Goals 12:3 Scored/game 2.4 Conceded/game 0.6

FC Copenhagen

D W W W D

Form 3-2-0 Goals 13:5 Scored/game 2.6 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

FK Crvena Zvezda win67.7%

Draw17.0%

FC Copenhagen win15.3%

Over 1.5 goals93.9%

Over 2.5 goals81.0%

Over 3.5 goals63.4%

Both teams to score72.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

86.0%

Home or Away (12)

84.1%

Home or Draw (1X)

83.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.1%

Home or Draw (1X)83.7%

Draw No Bet - Home81.1%

Both Halves Over 0.578.2%

Goal in Both Halves78.2%

Home Win68.2%

Draw or Away (X2)31.5%

Draw No Bet - Away18.9%

Away Win15.9%

Draw15.6%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.9%

Over 2.5 Goals80.8%

Under 5.5 Goals72.9%

Over 3.5 Goals63.2%

4+ Goals63.2%

Under 4.5 Goals56.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals48.9%

Over 4.5 Goals43.9%

Under 3.5 Goals36.8%

3-4 Goals36.8%

1-3 Goals35.2%

2-3 Goals29.7%

Over 5.5 Goals27.1%

Under 2.5 Goals19.2%

Exactly 3 Goals17.6%

1-2 Goals17.6%

Exactly 2 Goals12.1%

Under 1.5 Goals7.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.4%

Away Team to Score75.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.3%

Home Clean Sheet24.0%

Home Win to Nil22.7%

Away Clean Sheet5.3%

Away Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.4%

Home Over 1.578.9%

Away Over 0.575.7%

Home Over 2.556.1%

Home 3+ Goals56.1%

Away Over 1.541.5%

Away Exactly 134.2%

Away Exactly 224.3%

Away Exactly 024.0%

Home Exactly 222.8%

Away Over 2.517.2%

Away 3+ Goals17.2%

Home Exactly 115.5%

Home Exactly 05.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away50.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)48.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home48.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.2%

Home to win by 3+30.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 119.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 218.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 19.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.3%

Away to win by 24.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.2%

Away to win by 3+2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.566.4%

Home & Over 2.558.9%

Home & BTTS45.4%

Home & No BTTS22.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.4%

Draw & BTTS14.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.6%

Away & Over 2.512.8%

Away & BTTS11.9%

Home & Under 2.59.2%

Draw & Over 2.59.0%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Away & No BTTS4.0%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.0%

HT Over 1.558.5%

HT Home Win53.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT/FT Home/Home47.4%

HT Under 1.541.5%

HT Both Teams Score34.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.4%

HT Away Win18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.4%

HT Under 0.514.0%

HT/FT Away/Away9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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