UEFA Champions League

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

Kick-off 19:00 · Tue, Aug 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

FK Crvena Zvezda 78.7% Draw 16.6% Hapoel Beer Sheva 4.7%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 33%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 91%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 17%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

91%

Market agrees with this pick

FK Crvena Zvezda

L W W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 9:1 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 0.33

Hapoel Beer Sheva

W W L

Form 2-0-1 Goals 4:2 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

FK Crvena Zvezda 0wins ·0 draws ·Hapoel Beer Sheva 1wins

FK Crvena Zvezda 0-1 Hapoel Beer ShevaAug 4, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FK Crvena Zvezda win78.7%

Draw16.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva win4.7%

Over 1.5 goals76.8%

Over 2.5 goals51.7%

Over 3.5 goals29.5%

Both teams to score33.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Home Over 0.5

89.9%

Under 4.5 Goals

85.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)94.3%

Draw No Bet - Home93.4%

Home or Away (12)85.1%

Home Win79.5%

Both Halves Over 0.555.2%

Goal in Both Halves55.2%

Draw or Away (X2)20.5%

Exactly 1 Goal17.6%

Draw14.9%

Draw No Bet - Away6.6%

Away Win5.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.0%

Over 0.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals85.7%

Over 1.5 Goals75.9%

Under 3.5 Goals70.5%

1-3 Goals64.0%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals51.6%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.4%

2-3 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals37.3%

Over 3.5 Goals29.5%

4+ Goals29.5%

Exactly 2 Goals24.2%

Under 1.5 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals14.3%

Under 0.5 Goals6.5%

Exactly 0 Goals6.4%

Over 5.5 Goals6.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)67.8%

Home Clean Sheet64.1%

Home Win to Nil57.7%

Away Team to Score35.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)32.2%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Home Over 1.566.9%

Away Exactly 064.1%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Away Over 0.535.8%

Away Exactly 128.5%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Away Over 1.57.4%

Away Exactly 26.3%

Away Over 2.51.0%

Away 3+ Goals1.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)79.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)55.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home55.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)44.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away44.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.1%

Home to win by 3+32.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.7%

Home to win by 123.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.6%

Home to win by 223.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)20.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away20.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.6%

Away to win by 14.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS57.7%

Home & Over 2.547.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.541.7%

Home & Under 2.531.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.526.0%

BTTS & Over 2.525.7%

Home & BTTS21.8%

Draw & Under 2.513.0%

Draw & BTTS8.4%

BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Away & No BTTS3.6%

Away & Under 2.53.5%

Away & Over 2.52.1%

Away & BTTS2.0%

Draw & Over 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.9%

HT Under 1.565.0%

HT Home Win57.5%

HT/FT Home/Home55.0%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT Draw35.4%

HT Over 1.535.0%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.1%

Equal Goals Each Half25.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home22.5%

HT Both Teams Score11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.4%

HT Away Win7.1%

HT/FT Away/Away2.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions