UEFA Europa Conference League

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

85% confidence

FK Crvena Zvezda 84.6% Draw 8.9% Inter Club d'Escaldes 6.5%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

93%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FK Crvena Zvezda: 9 points versus 8 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.40 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

FK Crvena Zvezda

W L L W W

Form 3-0-2 Goals 12:3 Scored/game 2.4 Conceded/game 0.6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

D W W D L

Form 2-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

FK Crvena Zvezda win84.6%

Draw8.9%

Inter Club d'Escaldes win6.5%

Over 1.5 goals98.1%

Over 2.5 goals92.6%

Over 3.5 goals82.4%

Both teams to score74.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

89.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home92.6%

Home or Draw (1X)89.9%

Both Halves Over 0.588.9%

Goal in Both Halves88.9%

Home or Away (12)88.4%

Home Win81.9%

Draw or Away (X2)14.6%

Draw8.1%

Draw No Bet - Away7.4%

Away Win6.5%

Exactly 1 Goal1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.2%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals89.3%

Over 3.5 Goals79.5%

4+ Goals79.5%

Over 4.5 Goals65.2%

Under 5.5 Goals51.3%

Over 5.5 Goals48.7%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Total Goals Odd48.2%

Under 4.5 Goals34.8%

2-4 Goals29.2%

3-4 Goals24.1%

Under 3.5 Goals20.5%

1-3 Goals16.7%

2-3 Goals14.9%

Under 2.5 Goals10.7%

Exactly 3 Goals9.8%

1-2 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

Exactly 2 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.2%

Away Team to Score73.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.0%

Home Clean Sheet23.5%

Home Win to Nil23.2%

Away Clean Sheet1.2%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.2%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Home Over 2.577.8%

Home 3+ Goals77.8%

Away Over 0.573.0%

Away Over 1.539.8%

Away Exactly 133.2%

Away Exactly 023.5%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Away Over 2.516.4%

Away 3+ Goals16.4%

Home Exactly 211.9%

Home Exactly 15.4%

Home Exactly 01.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)85.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)74.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away74.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)69.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home69.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away60.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home53.0%

Home to win by 3+53.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away43.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)36.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home36.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away27.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home21.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 216.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away14.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.7%

Home to win by 112.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 14.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.7%

Away to win by 21.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.577.6%

BTTS & Over 2.570.2%

Home & BTTS58.7%

Home & No BTTS23.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.2%

Draw & BTTS7.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Away & Over 2.55.8%

Away & BTTS5.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Home & Under 2.54.2%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.6%

HT Over 1.573.5%

HT Home Win69.1%

HT/FT Home/Home65.7%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Both Teams Score40.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.5%

HT Draw19.9%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT Away Win11.0%

HT Under 0.57.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Away/Away3.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions