UEFA Europa League

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

FK Crvena Zvezda 78.0% Draw 14.7% Plzen 7.3%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 10.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.3%

Exact-score model probability

FK Crvena Zvezda

L L W W

Form 2-0-2 Goals 9:3 Scored/game 2.25 Conceded/game 0.75

Plzen

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📈 Probability Breakdown

FK Crvena Zvezda win78.0%

Draw14.7%

Plzen win7.3%

Over 1.5 goals88.9%

Over 2.5 goals70.9%

Over 3.5 goals49.8%

Both teams to score53.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.7%

Draw No Bet - Home90.7%

Home or Away (12)86.6%

Home Win78.6%

Both Halves Over 0.570.1%

Goal in Both Halves70.1%

Draw or Away (X2)21.1%

Draw13.1%

Draw No Bet - Away9.3%

Exactly 1 Goal9.3%

Away Win8.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.8%

Under 5.5 Goals83.7%

Over 2.5 Goals70.7%

Under 4.5 Goals69.6%

2-4 Goals57.4%

Under 3.5 Goals50.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals49.7%

4+ Goals49.7%

1-3 Goals47.5%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals38.1%

Over 4.5 Goals30.4%

Under 2.5 Goals29.3%

1-2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.1%

Over 5.5 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.9%

Away Team to Score56.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.2%

Home Clean Sheet43.7%

Home Win to Nil41.2%

Away Clean Sheet5.8%

Away Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.9%

Home Over 1.577.4%

Away Over 0.556.0%

Home Over 2.553.9%

Home 3+ Goals53.9%

Away Exactly 043.7%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Home Exactly 223.5%

Away Over 1.520.0%

Home Exactly 116.5%

Away Exactly 214.9%

Home Exactly 05.8%

Away Over 2.55.1%

Away 3+ Goals5.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)58.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home58.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)40.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away40.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.7%

Home to win by 3+37.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.2%

Home to win by 221.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 119.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.7%

Away to win by 15.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.8%

Away to win by 21.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.561.1%

BTTS & Over 2.546.8%

Home & No BTTS41.2%

Home & BTTS37.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.1%

Home & Under 2.517.6%

Draw & BTTS10.5%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Away & Over 2.55.1%

Away & BTTS4.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Away & No BTTS3.3%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.8%

HT Home Win59.9%

HT/FT Home/Home56.3%

HT Under 1.550.8%

HT Over 1.549.2%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw29.4%

HT Both Teams Score22.4%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Under 0.519.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.1%

HT Away Win10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Away/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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