UEFA Europa Conference League

FK Partizan vs Getafe

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

FK Partizan 82.7% Draw 13.8% Getafe 3.5%

Over 2.5 - 56% BTTS - 32%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

83%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 17%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.53 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17%

Exact-score model probability

FK Partizan

L W W W W

Form 4-0-1 Goals 11:4 Scored/game 2.2 Conceded/game 0.8

Getafe

W W L W L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

FK Partizan 0wins ·0 draws ·Getafe 1wins

FK Partizan 1-3 GetafeAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FK Partizan win82.7%

Draw13.8%

Getafe win3.5%

Over 1.5 goals79.8%

Over 2.5 goals56.2%

Over 3.5 goals33.8%

Both teams to score31.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.9%

Home Over 0.5

91.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)95.7%

Draw No Bet - Home95.2%

Home or Away (12)87.5%

Home Win83.3%

Both Halves Over 0.558.8%

Goal in Both Halves58.8%

Draw or Away (X2)16.5%

Exactly 1 Goal15.6%

Draw12.3%

Draw No Bet - Away4.8%

Away Win4.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.6%

Under 5.5 Goals92.3%

Under 4.5 Goals82.7%

Over 1.5 Goals79.0%

Under 3.5 Goals66.2%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.8%

Over 2.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.3%

Under 2.5 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals38.4%

Over 3.5 Goals33.8%

4+ Goals33.8%

Exactly 2 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals21.0%

Over 4.5 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals7.7%

Under 0.5 Goals5.4%

Exactly 0 Goals5.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)69.2%

Home Clean Sheet66.4%

Home Win to Nil61.1%

Away Team to Score33.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)30.8%

Away Clean Sheet8.0%

Away Win to Nil2.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.9%

Home Over 1.571.8%

Away Exactly 066.4%

Home Over 2.546.3%

Home 3+ Goals46.3%

Away Over 0.533.5%

Away Exactly 127.1%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 120.2%

Home Exactly 08.0%

Away Over 1.56.4%

Away Exactly 25.5%

Away Over 2.50.8%

Away 3+ Goals0.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away80.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)61.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)61.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home61.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away61.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)38.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away38.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)38.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home38.1%

Home to win by 3+38.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.6%

Home to win by 223.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.6%

Home to win by 121.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home19.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.5%

Away to win by 13.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS61.1%

Home & Over 2.553.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.538.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.530.8%

Home & Under 2.530.4%

BTTS & Over 2.525.3%

Home & BTTS22.2%

Draw & Under 2.510.8%

Draw & BTTS7.1%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Away & No BTTS2.7%

Away & Under 2.52.6%

Draw & Over 2.51.6%

Away & Over 2.51.6%

Away & BTTS1.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.3%

HT Under 1.561.9%

HT Home Win61.5%

HT/FT Home/Home59.5%

2nd Half More Goals44.3%

HT Over 1.538.1%

HT Draw32.5%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Under 0.526.7%

Equal Goals Each Half24.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home22.0%

HT Both Teams Score11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT Away Win5.9%

HT/FT Away/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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