UEFA Europa Conference League

FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan

Kick-off 16:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

97% confidence

FK Tobol Kostanay 0.4% Draw 2.9% FK Partizan 96.7%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 26%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-4 at 14.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FK Partizan: 2 points versus 9 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +1.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.1%

Exact-score model probability

FK Tobol Kostanay

L D D

Form 0-2-1 Goals 2:5 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

FK Partizan

W W W

Form 3-0-0 Goals 8:0 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 0

Head to head · last 1

FK Tobol Kostanay 0wins ·0 draws ·FK Partizan 1wins

FK Tobol Kostanay 0-3 FK PartizanAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

FK Tobol Kostanay win0.4%

Draw2.9%

FK Partizan win96.7%

Over 1.5 goals95.0%

Over 2.5 goals84.6%

Over 3.5 goals68.5%

Both teams to score25.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.2%

Away Over 1.5

89.8%

HT Over 0.5

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away99.4%

Draw or Away (X2)95.7%

Home or Away (12)93.7%

Away Win93.2%

Both Halves Over 0.581.7%

Goal in Both Halves81.7%

Exactly 1 Goal4.1%

Home or Draw (1X)3.0%

Draw2.5%

Draw No Bet - Home0.6%

Home Win0.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Over 1.5 Goals91.2%

Over 2.5 Goals81.4%

Under 5.5 Goals69.8%

Over 3.5 Goals65.9%

4+ Goals65.9%

Under 4.5 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even48.5%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

Over 4.5 Goals47.6%

2-4 Goals43.7%

Under 3.5 Goals34.1%

3-4 Goals33.9%

Over 5.5 Goals30.2%

1-3 Goals29.4%

2-3 Goals25.3%

Under 2.5 Goals18.6%

Exactly 3 Goals15.5%

1-2 Goals13.9%

Exactly 2 Goals9.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.4%

Away Clean Sheet71.3%

Away Win to Nil70.4%

Home Team to Score24.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.6%

Home Clean Sheet1.2%

Home Win to Nil0.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.1%

Away Over 1.589.8%

Away Over 2.578.2%

Away 3+ Goals78.2%

Home Exactly 071.3%

Home Over 0.524.9%

Home Exactly 121.4%

Away Exactly 211.6%

Away Exactly 15.2%

Home Over 1.53.6%

Home Exactly 23.2%

Away Exactly 01.2%

Home Over 2.50.3%

Home 3+ Goals0.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)93.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away86.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)74.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away73.0%

Away to win by 3+73.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)59.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home59.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)55.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away55.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home40.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away37.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home23.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away21.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw18.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw15.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.1%

Away to win by 213.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home10.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 17.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home3.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw0.5%

Home to win by 10.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 20.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.580.7%

Away & No BTTS70.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.558.0%

BTTS & Over 2.523.5%

Away & BTTS22.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.6%

Away & Under 2.512.5%

Draw & Under 2.52.0%

Draw & BTTS1.6%

BTTS & Under 2.51.2%

Draw & Over 2.50.4%

Home & Under 2.50.3%

Home & No BTTS0.3%

Home & Over 2.50.2%

Home & BTTS0.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.1%

HT Away Win82.8%

HT/FT Away/Away82.2%

HT Over 1.562.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Under 1.537.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT Draw15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.4%

HT Under 0.511.9%

HT Both Teams Score10.9%

HT Home Win1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.4%

HT/FT Home/Home0.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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