UEFA Europa Conference League

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split

Full time · 2:5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 61.7% Draw 16.0% HNK Hajduk Split 22.3%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 86%

✓ Pick was correct (2:5)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 9 points versus 6 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.25 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

W L W W

Form 3-0-1 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 1.75

HNK Hajduk Split

L W L W

Form 2-0-2 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

FK Zalgiris Vilnius win61.7%

Draw16.0%

HNK Hajduk Split win22.3%

Over 1.5 goals98.0%

Over 2.5 goals91.9%

Over 3.5 goals81.2%

Both teams to score86.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.9%

Goal in Both Halves87.9%

Home or Away (12)83.9%

Home or Draw (1X)76.6%

Draw No Bet - Home73.2%

Home Win61.5%

Draw or Away (X2)37.6%

Draw No Bet - Away26.8%

Away Win22.5%

Draw15.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals96.7%

Over 2.5 Goals91.0%

Over 3.5 Goals80.4%

4+ Goals80.4%

Over 4.5 Goals65.4%

Under 5.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Over 5.5 Goals48.5%

Under 4.5 Goals34.6%

2-4 Goals31.3%

3-4 Goals25.6%

Under 3.5 Goals19.6%

1-3 Goals18.3%

2-3 Goals16.3%

Exactly 3 Goals10.6%

Under 2.5 Goals9.0%

1-2 Goals7.7%

Exactly 2 Goals5.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score87.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.9%

Home Clean Sheet11.1%

Home Win to Nil10.8%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil2.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Away Over 0.587.9%

Home Over 1.584.9%

Home Over 2.566.0%

Home 3+ Goals66.0%

Away Over 1.563.6%

Away Over 2.537.0%

Away 3+ Goals37.0%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 124.3%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Exactly 011.1%

Home Exactly 110.9%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away70.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away54.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home44.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.3%

Home to win by 3+28.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.9%

Away to win by 110.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.4%

Away to win by 26.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.1%

Away to win by 3+5.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.4%

Home & Over 2.558.1%

Home & BTTS50.7%

Away & Over 2.520.8%

Away & BTTS19.6%

Draw & BTTS14.8%

Draw & Over 2.512.1%

Home & No BTTS10.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

Away & No BTTS2.8%

BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.1%

HT Over 1.572.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.8%

HT Home Win50.5%

HT Both Teams Score49.4%

HT/FT Home/Home42.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.0%

HT Draw25.5%

HT Away Win24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT/FT Away/Away13.5%

HT Under 0.57.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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