Brazil · Serie A

Flamengo vs RB Bragantino

Kick-off 22:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

76% confidence

Flamengo 75.7% Draw 17.4% RB Bragantino 6.9%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 43%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

81%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 14%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Flamengo: 15 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14%

Exact-score model probability

Flamengo

W W W W L W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 14:4 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.67

RB Bragantino

D L L W D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Flamengo win75.7%

Draw17.4%

RB Bragantino win6.9%

Over 1.5 goals81.3%

Over 2.5 goals58.0%

Over 3.5 goals35.6%

Both teams to score43.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.5%

Home Team to Score

90.8%

Home Over 0.5

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.1%

Draw No Bet - Home90.7%

Home or Away (12)84.5%

Home Win76.6%

Both Halves Over 0.560.1%

Goal in Both Halves60.1%

Draw or Away (X2)23.3%

Draw15.4%

Exactly 1 Goal14.8%

Draw No Bet - Away9.3%

Away Win7.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Under 5.5 Goals91.5%

Under 4.5 Goals81.3%

Over 1.5 Goals80.2%

Under 3.5 Goals64.4%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.5%

Over 2.5 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals44.7%

Under 2.5 Goals42.0%

3-4 Goals39.3%

1-2 Goals37.1%

Over 3.5 Goals35.6%

4+ Goals35.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals19.8%

Over 4.5 Goals18.7%

Over 5.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

Exactly 0 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)57.9%

Home Clean Sheet53.5%

Home Win to Nil48.6%

Away Team to Score46.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)42.1%

Away Clean Sheet9.1%

Away Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.8%

Home Over 1.568.9%

Away Exactly 053.5%

Away Over 0.546.4%

Home Over 2.542.7%

Home 3+ Goals42.7%

Away Exactly 133.4%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Home Exactly 121.9%

Away Over 1.513.0%

Away Exactly 210.4%

Home Exactly 09.1%

Away Over 2.52.6%

Away 3+ Goals2.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away46.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.3%

Home to win by 3+31.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away23.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.9%

Home to win by 122.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.4%

Home to win by 222.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.0%

Away to win by 16.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.5%

Away to win by 21.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.550.9%

Home & No BTTS48.6%

BTTS & Over 2.534.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.534.6%

Home & BTTS28.0%

Home & Under 2.525.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.1%

Draw & Under 2.512.2%

Draw & BTTS10.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Away & No BTTS4.2%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Away & Over 2.53.8%

Away & BTTS3.6%

Draw & Over 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.3%

HT Under 1.560.7%

HT Home Win56.3%

HT/FT Home/Home52.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT Over 1.539.3%

HT Draw34.1%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.525.7%

Equal Goals Each Half23.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.1%

HT Both Teams Score16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.8%

HT Away Win9.6%

HT/FT Away/Away4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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