England · League Cup

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal

Kick-off 21:00 · Tue, Oct 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

81% confidence

Fleetwood Town 81.4% Draw 15.5% Arsenal 3.1%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 24%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 19.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

19.8%

Exact-score model probability

Fleetwood Town

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:0 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0

Arsenal

W D W W W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fleetwood Town win81.4%

Draw15.5%

Arsenal win3.1%

Over 1.5 goals72.8%

Over 2.5 goals46.7%

Over 3.5 goals25.1%

Both teams to score23.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

89.3%

Home Over 0.5

89.3%

Under 4.5 Goals

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)96.2%

Draw No Bet - Home95.6%

Home or Away (12)85.8%

Home Win82.1%

Both Halves Over 0.551.3%

Goal in Both Halves51.3%

Exactly 1 Goal20.0%

Draw or Away (X2)17.9%

Draw14.1%

Draw No Bet - Away4.4%

Away Win3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.6%

Over 0.5 Goals92.1%

Under 4.5 Goals88.6%

Under 3.5 Goals74.9%

Over 1.5 Goals72.1%

1-3 Goals67.0%

2-4 Goals60.7%

Under 2.5 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.6%

1-2 Goals45.4%

3-4 Goals35.2%

Under 1.5 Goals27.9%

Exactly 2 Goals25.4%

Over 3.5 Goals25.1%

4+ Goals25.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals11.4%

Under 0.5 Goals7.9%

Exactly 0 Goals7.9%

Over 5.5 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)76.8%

Home Clean Sheet74.0%

Home Win to Nil66.2%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)23.2%

Away Clean Sheet10.6%

Away Win to Nil2.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.3%

Away Exactly 074.0%

Home Over 1.565.5%

Home Over 2.538.8%

Home 3+ Goals38.8%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 123.8%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Exactly 010.6%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)57.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home57.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)42.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away42.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.2%

Home to win by 3+33.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw24.6%

Home to win by 224.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.3%

Home to win by 124.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away17.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 13.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 20.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS66.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.548.0%

Home & Over 2.544.7%

Home & Under 2.537.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.528.8%

BTTS & Over 2.517.9%

Home & BTTS15.9%

Draw & Under 2.513.2%

Draw & BTTS6.3%

BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Away & No BTTS2.8%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Away & Over 2.51.0%

Away & BTTS1.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.3%

HT Over 0.568.1%

HT Home Win58.7%

HT/FT Home/Home57.0%

2nd Half More Goals42.8%

HT Draw36.3%

HT Under 0.531.9%

HT Over 1.531.7%

1st Half More Goals30.8%

Equal Goals Each Half26.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home23.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.9%

HT Both Teams Score8.0%

HT Away Win4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.8%

HT/FT Away/Away1.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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