England · League Cup

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd

Kick-off 19:45 · Wed, Sep 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Fleetwood Town 86.2% Draw 11.4% Sheffield Utd 2.4%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

86%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 17.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.4%

Exact-score model probability

Fleetwood Town

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:0 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0

Sheffield Utd

L W L W D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fleetwood Town win86.2%

Draw11.4%

Sheffield Utd win2.4%

Over 1.5 goals81.2%

Over 2.5 goals58.5%

Over 3.5 goals36.1%

Both teams to score27.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.4%

Home or Away (12)

89.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)96.9%

Draw No Bet - Home96.8%

Home or Away (12)89.5%

Home Win86.6%

Both Halves Over 0.560.6%

Goal in Both Halves60.6%

Exactly 1 Goal14.5%

Draw or Away (X2)13.2%

Draw10.3%

Draw No Bet - Away3.2%

Away Win2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Under 5.5 Goals91.4%

Under 4.5 Goals81.0%

Over 1.5 Goals80.5%

Under 3.5 Goals64.0%

2-4 Goals61.5%

1-3 Goals59.0%

Over 2.5 Goals58.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals44.5%

Under 2.5 Goals41.6%

3-4 Goals39.4%

1-2 Goals36.6%

Over 3.5 Goals36.0%

4+ Goals36.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.1%

Under 1.5 Goals19.5%

Over 4.5 Goals19.0%

Over 5.5 Goals8.6%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

Exactly 0 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.2%

Home Clean Sheet71.0%

Home Win to Nil66.3%

Away Team to Score28.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.8%

Away Clean Sheet6.7%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.1%

Home Over 1.575.0%

Away Exactly 071.0%

Home Over 2.550.5%

Home 3+ Goals50.5%

Away Over 0.528.8%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 124.2%

Home Exactly 118.1%

Home Exactly 06.7%

Away Over 1.54.6%

Away Exactly 24.1%

Away Over 2.50.5%

Away 3+ Goals0.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)76.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away76.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)66.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home66.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.4%

Home to win by 3+43.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)33.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away33.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home23.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.4%

Home to win by 223.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 119.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 12.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 20.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS66.3%

Home & Over 2.556.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.536.0%

Home & Under 2.530.3%

BTTS & Over 2.522.4%

Home & BTTS20.4%

Draw & Under 2.59.2%

Draw & BTTS5.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Draw & Over 2.51.1%

Away & Over 2.51.0%

Away & BTTS1.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.6%

HT Home Win65.0%

HT/FT Home/Home63.4%

HT Under 1.560.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.7%

HT Over 1.539.7%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Draw30.4%

HT Under 0.525.4%

Equal Goals Each Half23.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.7%

HT Both Teams Score10.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT Away Win4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

HT/FT Away/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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