Brazil · Serie A

Fluminense vs Internacional

Kick-off 23:30 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

76% confidence

Fluminense 75.5% Draw 14.4% Internacional 10.1%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Internacional: 9 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

Fluminense

L L L W W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Internacional

W L D W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Fluminense 0wins ·0 draws ·Internacional 1wins

Fluminense 0-1 InternacionalMay 3, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fluminense win75.5%

Draw14.4%

Internacional win10.1%

Over 1.5 goals93.6%

Over 2.5 goals80.6%

Over 3.5 goals62.7%

Both teams to score66.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

88.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.8%

Draw No Bet - Home87.7%

Home or Away (12)86.4%

Both Halves Over 0.577.9%

Goal in Both Halves77.9%

Home Win75.8%

Draw or Away (X2)23.7%

Draw13.1%

Draw No Bet - Away12.3%

Away Win10.6%

Exactly 1 Goal5.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals92.5%

Over 2.5 Goals80.2%

Under 5.5 Goals73.6%

Over 3.5 Goals62.4%

4+ Goals62.4%

Under 4.5 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-4 Goals49.4%

Over 4.5 Goals43.1%

Under 3.5 Goals37.6%

3-4 Goals37.1%

1-3 Goals35.8%

2-3 Goals30.1%

Over 5.5 Goals26.4%

Under 2.5 Goals19.8%

1-2 Goals18.0%

Exactly 3 Goals17.8%

Exactly 2 Goals12.3%

Under 1.5 Goals7.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.2%

Away Team to Score68.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.2%

Home Clean Sheet30.7%

Home Win to Nil29.4%

Away Clean Sheet4.2%

Away Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.2%

Home Over 1.581.8%

Away Over 0.568.8%

Home Over 2.560.6%

Home 3+ Goals60.6%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Away Over 1.532.7%

Away Exactly 030.7%

Home Exactly 221.2%

Away Exactly 221.2%

Home Exactly 113.4%

Away Over 2.511.5%

Away 3+ Goals11.5%

Home Exactly 04.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)75.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)61.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away61.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home57.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)42.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away42.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.9%

Home to win by 3+37.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away23.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 219.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.8%

Away to win by 16.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.7%

Away to win by 22.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.565.1%

BTTS & Over 2.561.0%

Home & BTTS46.4%

Home & No BTTS29.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.4%

Draw & BTTS11.8%

Home & Under 2.510.7%

Away & Over 2.58.2%

Away & BTTS7.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

Away & No BTTS2.9%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.8%

HT Home Win59.2%

HT Over 1.558.1%

HT/FT Home/Home54.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.3%

HT Under 1.541.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score31.2%

HT Draw27.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.3%

HT Under 0.514.2%

HT Away Win13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Away5.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners84.1%

Under 10.5 Corners75.4%

Under 9.5 Corners64.2%

Home Most Corners60.0%

Home Over 4.5 Corners54.5%

Under 8.5 Corners51.2%

Over 8.5 Corners48.8%

Over 9.5 Corners35.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners30.6%

Away Most Corners27.3%

Over 10.5 Corners24.6%

Over 11.5 Corners15.9%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards78.5%

Over 2.5 Cards76.2%

Under 4.5 Cards62.9%

Over 3.5 Cards56.7%

Under 3.5 Cards43.3%

Over 4.5 Cards37.1%

Under 2.5 Cards23.8%

Over 5.5 Cards21.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions