Netherlands · Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur

Kick-off 20:00 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Fortuna Sittard 69.8% Draw 20.7% Cambuur 9.5%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 90.5% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 9.5% on the only losing outcome.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Fortuna Sittard: 5 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Fortuna Sittard 2 wins, 0 draws, Cambuur 2 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

90.5%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

9.5%

Only the uncovered result loses

Fortuna Sittard

D L W L L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Cambuur

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 4

Fortuna Sittard 2wins ·0 draws ·Cambuur 2wins

Fortuna Sittard 2-1 CambuurJan 29, 2023

Fortuna Sittard 1-4 CambuurAug 20, 2022

Fortuna Sittard 1-2 CambuurFeb 26, 2022

Fortuna Sittard 1-0 CambuurOct 16, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fortuna Sittard win69.8%

Draw20.7%

Cambuur win9.5%

Over 1.5 goals77.6%

Over 2.5 goals83.2%

Over 3.5 goals30.4%

Both teams to score51.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.5%

Draw No Bet - Home86.9%

Home or Away (12)85.5%

Both Halves Over 0.574.5%

Goal in Both Halves74.5%

Home Win74.4%

Draw or Away (X2)25.3%

Draw14.1%

Draw No Bet - Away13.1%

Away Win11.2%

Exactly 1 Goal7.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.7%

Under 5.5 Goals78.4%

Over 2.5 Goals76.3%

Under 4.5 Goals62.7%

Over 3.5 Goals56.9%

4+ Goals56.9%

2-4 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals43.1%

1-3 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals38.9%

Over 4.5 Goals37.3%

2-3 Goals33.9%

Under 2.5 Goals23.7%

Over 5.5 Goals21.6%

1-2 Goals21.6%

Exactly 3 Goals19.4%

Exactly 2 Goals14.5%

Under 1.5 Goals9.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score66.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.2%

Home Clean Sheet33.3%

Home Win to Nil31.5%

Away Clean Sheet5.3%

Away Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Home Over 1.578.7%

Away Over 0.566.4%

Home Over 2.555.8%

Home 3+ Goals55.8%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 033.3%

Away Over 1.529.9%

Home Exactly 222.9%

Away Exactly 220.0%

Home Exactly 115.6%

Away Over 2.59.8%

Away 3+ Goals9.8%

Home Exactly 05.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away80.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)54.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home54.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away44.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.9%

Home to win by 3+34.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 220.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home19.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.3%

Away to win by 17.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 22.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.561.5%

BTTS & Over 2.557.1%

Home & BTTS42.9%

Home & No BTTS31.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.7%

Home & Under 2.512.9%

Draw & BTTS12.3%

Away & Over 2.58.1%

Away & BTTS7.6%

Draw & Under 2.57.5%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.7%

Away & No BTTS3.6%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.7%

HT Home Win57.3%

HT Over 1.554.1%

HT/FT Home/Home52.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT Under 1.545.9%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw28.8%

HT Both Teams Score28.5%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.9%

HT Under 0.516.3%

HT Away Win13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Away/Away6.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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