Netherlands · Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar

Kick-off 16:30 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Fortuna Sittard 42.6% Draw 26.6% Telstar 30.8%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Fortuna Sittard: 9 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Fortuna Sittard

D W D D W L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Telstar

W L L D L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 2

Fortuna Sittard 1wins ·0 draws ·Telstar 1wins

Fortuna Sittard 1-4 TelstarMar 8, 2026

Fortuna Sittard 3-1 TelstarSep 14, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fortuna Sittard win42.6%

Draw26.6%

Telstar win30.8%

Over 1.5 goals81.0%

Over 2.5 goals81.1%

Over 3.5 goals34.9%

Both teams to score72.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.4%

Both Halves Over 0.578.7%

Goal in Both Halves78.7%

Home or Draw (1X)73.5%

Draw No Bet - Home67.7%

Home Win55.1%

Draw or Away (X2)44.7%

Draw No Bet - Away32.3%

Away Win26.3%

Draw18.4%

Exactly 1 Goal5.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.3%

Over 2.5 Goals81.5%

Under 5.5 Goals71.9%

Over 3.5 Goals64.2%

4+ Goals64.2%

Under 4.5 Goals55.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals48.3%

Over 4.5 Goals45.0%

3-4 Goals36.5%

Under 3.5 Goals35.8%

1-3 Goals34.5%

2-3 Goals29.1%

Over 5.5 Goals28.1%

Under 2.5 Goals18.5%

Exactly 3 Goals17.3%

1-2 Goals17.1%

Exactly 2 Goals11.8%

Under 1.5 Goals6.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.5%

Away Team to Score83.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.7%

Home Clean Sheet16.4%

Home Win to Nil15.2%

Away Clean Sheet7.4%

Away Win to Nil6.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.5%

Away Over 0.583.5%

Home Over 1.573.3%

Away Over 1.553.9%

Home Over 2.548.2%

Home 3+ Goals48.2%

Away Exactly 129.6%

Away Over 2.527.1%

Away 3+ Goals27.1%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 225.1%

Home Exactly 119.2%

Away Exactly 016.4%

Home Exactly 07.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home73.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.9%

Home to win by 3+19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 119.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.4%

Away to win by 113.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.6%

Away to win by 27.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.3%

Away to win by 3+5.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.6%

Home & Over 2.547.8%

Home & BTTS39.9%

Away & Over 2.522.2%

Away & BTTS20.2%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Home & No BTTS15.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.6%

Draw & Over 2.511.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.9%

Home & Under 2.57.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.9%

Away & No BTTS6.2%

BTTS & Under 2.55.7%

Away & Under 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.3%

HT Over 1.559.1%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT Home Win44.3%

HT Under 1.540.9%

HT Both Teams Score38.5%

HT/FT Home/Home36.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.3%

HT Away Win25.5%

Equal Goals Each Half19.2%

HT/FT Away/Away15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT Under 0.513.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions