Netherlands · Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard vs Twente

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Fortuna Sittard 23.0% Draw 26.4% Twente 50.6%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

80%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.7%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Twente: 12 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.7%

Exact-score model probability

Fortuna Sittard

W L W W L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 11:12 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2

Twente

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Fortuna Sittard 0wins ·1 draws ·Twente 4wins

Fortuna Sittard 1-2 TwenteMar 21, 2026

Fortuna Sittard 2-3 TwenteSep 26, 2025

Fortuna Sittard 1-1 TwenteApr 5, 2025

Fortuna Sittard 1-2 TwenteNov 23, 2024

Fortuna Sittard 0-2 TwenteApr 6, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fortuna Sittard win23.0%

Draw26.4%

Twente win50.6%

Over 1.5 goals80.2%

Over 2.5 goals97.5%

Over 3.5 goals33.2%

Both teams to score92.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.8%

Goal in Both Halves88.8%

Home or Away (12)84.7%

Draw or Away (X2)79.7%

Draw No Bet - Away77.7%

Away Win65.8%

Home or Draw (1X)32.8%

Draw No Bet - Home22.3%

Home Win18.9%

Draw13.9%

Exactly 1 Goal1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals96.6%

Over 2.5 Goals91.4%

Over 3.5 Goals81.5%

4+ Goals81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals67.2%

Over 5.5 Goals50.6%

Under 5.5 Goals49.4%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Under 4.5 Goals32.8%

2-4 Goals29.4%

3-4 Goals24.2%

Under 3.5 Goals18.5%

1-3 Goals16.8%

2-3 Goals15.0%

Exactly 3 Goals9.9%

Under 2.5 Goals8.6%

1-2 Goals6.9%

Exactly 2 Goals5.1%

Under 1.5 Goals3.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score86.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.6%

Away Clean Sheet12.0%

Away Win to Nil11.7%

Home Clean Sheet2.5%

Home Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.586.9%

Home Over 0.586.6%

Away Over 2.569.8%

Away 3+ Goals69.8%

Home Over 1.561.3%

Home Over 2.534.7%

Home 3+ Goals34.7%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 125.3%

Away Exactly 217.0%

Home Exactly 012.0%

Away Exactly 19.3%

Away Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home65.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)65.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home49.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)32.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home32.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)32.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away32.7%

Away to win by 3+32.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 116.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.4%

Away to win by 216.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.5%

Home to win by 19.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.4%

Home to win by 25.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.0%

Home to win by 3+4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.0%

Away & Over 2.562.6%

Away & BTTS54.1%

Home & Over 2.517.6%

Home & BTTS16.7%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

Away & No BTTS11.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.8%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Draw & Under 2.52.7%

BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Home & No BTTS2.2%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.6%

HT Over 1.573.4%

HT Away Win54.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Both Teams Score49.6%

HT/FT Away/Away47.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.6%

HT Draw24.4%

HT Home Win21.5%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.0%

HT/FT Home/Home11.2%

HT Under 0.57.4%

HT/FT Home/Away5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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