Italy · Serie A

Frosinone vs Como

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Frosinone 23.1% Draw 26.2% Como 50.8%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Como: 13 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Frosinone

D W W L W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 13:4 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Como

W W W W D W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 17:6 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Frosinone win23.1%

Draw26.2%

Como win50.8%

Over 1.5 goals69.5%

Over 2.5 goals82.3%

Over 3.5 goals22.4%

Both teams to score65.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

90.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)90.5%

Draw No Bet - Away90.1%

Home or Away (12)87.7%

Both Halves Over 0.579.3%

Goal in Both Halves79.3%

Away Win79.0%

Home or Draw (1X)20.3%

Draw11.6%

Draw No Bet - Home9.9%

Home Win8.7%

Exactly 1 Goal5.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals93.0%

Over 2.5 Goals81.7%

Under 5.5 Goals71.4%

Over 3.5 Goals64.7%

4+ Goals64.7%

Under 4.5 Goals54.3%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

2-4 Goals47.4%

Over 4.5 Goals45.7%

3-4 Goals36.0%

Under 3.5 Goals35.3%

1-3 Goals33.4%

Over 5.5 Goals28.6%

2-3 Goals28.3%

Under 2.5 Goals18.3%

Exactly 3 Goals17.0%

1-2 Goals16.4%

Exactly 2 Goals11.4%

Under 1.5 Goals7.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.8%

Home Team to Score66.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.4%

Away Clean Sheet32.3%

Away Win to Nil31.2%

Home Clean Sheet3.5%

Home Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.8%

Away Over 1.584.1%

Home Over 0.566.9%

Away Over 2.564.5%

Away 3+ Goals64.5%

Home Exactly 136.3%

Home Exactly 032.3%

Home Over 1.530.7%

Home Exactly 220.3%

Away Exactly 219.6%

Away Exactly 111.7%

Home Over 2.510.3%

Home 3+ Goals10.3%

Away Exactly 03.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away90.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home86.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)79.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home73.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)61.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away61.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)56.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home56.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)42.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away42.5%

Away to win by 3+42.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)37.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home37.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away25.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home20.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.3%

Away to win by 219.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.2%

Away to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away13.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.7%

Home to win by 15.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.2%

Home to win by 22.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.8%

Home to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.568.8%

BTTS & Over 2.560.3%

Away & BTTS47.8%

Away & No BTTS31.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.3%

Draw & BTTS10.4%

Away & Under 2.510.2%

Home & Over 2.56.7%

Home & BTTS6.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.2%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Home & No BTTS2.3%

Home & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.7%

HT Away Win62.2%

HT Over 1.559.9%

HT/FT Away/Away58.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Under 1.540.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score30.9%

HT Draw25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.1%

HT Under 0.513.3%

HT Home Win12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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