Italy · Serie A

Frosinone vs Juventus

Kick-off 17:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Frosinone 17.5% Draw 26.1% Juventus 56.4%

Over 2.5 - 28% BTTS - 37%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

80%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Frosinone: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Frosinone 0 wins, 0 draws, Juventus 2 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

Frosinone

W W L W L D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Juventus

D L W D D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 2

Frosinone 0wins ·0 draws ·Juventus 2wins

Frosinone 2-3 JuventusFeb 25, 2024

Frosinone 1-2 JuventusDec 23, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Frosinone win17.5%

Draw26.1%

Juventus win56.4%

Over 1.5 goals66.9%

Over 2.5 goals28.1%

Over 3.5 goals19.8%

Both teams to score37.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

90.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)75.2%

Home or Away (12)74.8%

Draw No Bet - Away66.9%

Both Halves Over 0.552.4%

Goal in Both Halves52.4%

Away Win50.0%

Home or Draw (1X)50.0%

Draw No Bet - Home33.1%

Draw25.2%

Home Win24.8%

Exactly 1 Goal19.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.1%

Over 0.5 Goals92.6%

Under 4.5 Goals87.8%

Under 3.5 Goals73.6%

Over 1.5 Goals73.2%

1-3 Goals66.2%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 2.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.1%

2-3 Goals46.9%

1-2 Goals44.4%

3-4 Goals35.9%

Under 1.5 Goals26.8%

Over 3.5 Goals26.4%

4+ Goals26.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals7.4%

Exactly 0 Goals7.4%

Over 5.5 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score79.2%

Home Team to Score64.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.1%

Away Clean Sheet35.8%

Away Win to Nil28.4%

Home Clean Sheet20.8%

Home Win to Nil13.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.579.2%

Home Over 0.564.2%

Away Over 1.546.6%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 035.8%

Away Exactly 132.6%

Home Over 1.527.4%

Away Exactly 225.7%

Away Over 2.520.9%

Away 3+ Goals20.9%

Away Exactly 020.8%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Home Over 2.58.5%

Home 3+ Goals8.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)50.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.0%

Away to win by 124.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 115.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 215.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.7%

Away to win by 3+10.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.5%

Home to win by 26.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

Home to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.539.9%

BTTS & Over 2.538.9%

Away & Over 2.529.1%

Away & No BTTS28.4%

Away & BTTS21.6%

Away & Under 2.520.9%

Draw & Under 2.519.4%

Draw & BTTS17.8%

Home & No BTTS13.3%

Home & Over 2.513.2%

BTTS & Under 2.512.0%

Home & Under 2.511.6%

Home & BTTS11.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.568.9%

HT Under 1.567.4%

2nd Half More Goals43.0%

HT Draw42.1%

HT Away Win36.8%

HT Over 1.532.6%

HT Under 0.531.1%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT/FT Away/Away30.5%

Equal Goals Each Half26.1%

HT Home Win21.1%

HT Both Teams Score18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.6%

HT/FT Home/Home13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions