Italy · Serie A

Frosinone vs Torino

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Frosinone 56.3% Draw 21.0% Torino 22.7%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Frosinone: 11 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

Frosinone

W D W L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 16:11 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Torino

L W W W D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 2

Frosinone 0wins ·2 draws ·Torino 0wins

Frosinone 0-0 TorinoApr 21, 2024

Frosinone 0-0 TorinoDec 10, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Frosinone win56.3%

Draw21.0%

Torino win22.7%

Over 1.5 goals85.1%

Over 2.5 goals95.3%

Over 3.5 goals43.8%

Both teams to score84.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.0%

Home or Away (12)84.7%

Draw No Bet - Home83.8%

Both Halves Over 0.576.4%

Goal in Both Halves76.4%

Home Win71.0%

Draw or Away (X2)28.7%

Draw No Bet - Away16.2%

Draw15.0%

Away Win13.7%

Exactly 1 Goal6.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals78.5%

Under 5.5 Goals75.8%

Over 3.5 Goals60.0%

4+ Goals60.0%

Under 4.5 Goals59.5%

2-4 Goals51.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals40.5%

Under 3.5 Goals40.0%

1-3 Goals38.2%

3-4 Goals38.0%

2-3 Goals31.9%

Over 5.5 Goals24.2%

Under 2.5 Goals21.5%

1-2 Goals19.6%

Exactly 3 Goals18.6%

Exactly 2 Goals13.3%

Under 1.5 Goals8.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score71.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.3%

Home Clean Sheet28.1%

Home Win to Nil26.6%

Away Clean Sheet5.4%

Away Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Home Over 1.578.6%

Away Over 0.571.5%

Home Over 2.555.7%

Home 3+ Goals55.7%

Away Over 1.536.0%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Away Exactly 028.1%

Home Exactly 223.0%

Away Exactly 222.5%

Home Exactly 115.7%

Away Over 2.513.4%

Away 3+ Goals13.4%

Home Exactly 05.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.2%

Home to win by 3+32.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 18.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 23.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.1%

Home & Over 2.560.1%

Home & BTTS44.4%

Home & No BTTS26.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.6%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Home & Under 2.510.9%

Away & Over 2.510.5%

Away & BTTS9.8%

Draw & Over 2.57.9%

Draw & Under 2.57.1%

BTTS & Under 2.55.6%

Away & No BTTS3.9%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.8%

HT Over 1.556.2%

HT Home Win55.1%

HT/FT Home/Home49.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score31.8%

HT Draw28.9%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.1%

HT Away Win16.1%

HT Under 0.515.2%

HT/FT Away/Away7.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions