Italy · Serie A

Frosinone vs Venezia

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Frosinone 56.5% Draw 27.7% Venezia 15.9%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Frosinone: 12 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

Frosinone

W L W W L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 10:2 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.33

Venezia

L L W D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Frosinone win56.5%

Draw27.7%

Venezia win15.9%

Over 1.5 goals58.7%

Over 2.5 goals81.7%

Over 3.5 goals13.8%

Both teams to score66.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

89.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.9%

Draw No Bet - Home89.1%

Home or Away (12)87.2%

Both Halves Over 0.578.8%

Goal in Both Halves78.8%

Home Win77.7%

Draw or Away (X2)21.6%

Draw12.2%

Draw No Bet - Away10.9%

Away Win9.5%

Exactly 1 Goal5.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals92.9%

Over 2.5 Goals81.2%

Under 5.5 Goals72.1%

Over 3.5 Goals63.9%

4+ Goals63.9%

Under 4.5 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

2-4 Goals48.0%

Over 4.5 Goals44.8%

3-4 Goals36.4%

Under 3.5 Goals36.1%

1-3 Goals34.2%

2-3 Goals28.9%

Over 5.5 Goals27.9%

Under 2.5 Goals18.8%

Exactly 3 Goals17.3%

1-2 Goals16.9%

Exactly 2 Goals11.7%

Under 1.5 Goals7.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

Away Team to Score67.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.7%

Home Clean Sheet31.5%

Home Win to Nil30.3%

Away Clean Sheet3.7%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Home Over 1.583.3%

Away Over 0.567.8%

Home Over 2.563.1%

Home 3+ Goals63.1%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Away Over 1.531.6%

Away Exactly 031.5%

Away Exactly 220.8%

Home Exactly 220.2%

Home Exactly 112.3%

Away Over 2.510.9%

Away 3+ Goals10.9%

Home Exactly 03.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)77.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)58.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away58.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)40.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home40.7%

Home to win by 3+40.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)39.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away39.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home23.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 219.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 16.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.567.4%

BTTS & Over 2.560.8%

Home & BTTS47.4%

Home & No BTTS30.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.7%

Draw & BTTS11.0%

Home & Under 2.510.3%

Away & Over 2.57.3%

Away & BTTS6.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

Draw & Under 2.55.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.4%

HT Home Win61.0%

HT Over 1.559.2%

HT/FT Home/Home56.8%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT Under 1.540.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score31.1%

HT Draw26.2%

Equal Goals Each Half19.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.2%

HT Under 0.513.6%

HT Away Win12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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