Germany · Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

FSV Mainz 05 50.2% Draw 23.9% Eintracht Frankfurt 25.9%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

91%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FSV Mainz 05: 10 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

FSV Mainz 05

W D W L W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Eintracht Frankfurt

L D D L L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 10:15 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 5

FSV Mainz 05 2wins ·1 draws ·Eintracht Frankfurt 2wins

FSV Mainz 05 2-1 Eintracht FrankfurtMar 22, 2026

FSV Mainz 05 0-1 Eintracht FrankfurtNov 9, 2025

FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Eintracht FrankfurtMay 4, 2025

FSV Mainz 05 3-1 Eintracht FrankfurtDec 21, 2024

FSV Mainz 05 0-1 Eintracht FrankfurtJan 26, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

FSV Mainz 05 win50.2%

Draw23.9%

Eintracht Frankfurt win25.9%

Over 1.5 goals83.5%

Over 2.5 goals94.8%

Over 3.5 goals39.5%

Both teams to score90.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.8%

HT Over 0.5

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.4%

Goal in Both Halves82.4%

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Home or Draw (1X)69.5%

Draw No Bet - Home62.9%

Home Win51.4%

Draw or Away (X2)48.4%

Draw No Bet - Away37.1%

Away Win30.3%

Draw18.1%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.1%

Over 2.5 Goals85.8%

Over 3.5 Goals70.9%

4+ Goals70.9%

Under 5.5 Goals64.7%

Over 4.5 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals47.2%

2-4 Goals42.4%

Over 5.5 Goals35.3%

3-4 Goals33.1%

Under 3.5 Goals29.1%

1-3 Goals28.1%

2-3 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals15.0%

Under 2.5 Goals14.2%

1-2 Goals13.1%

Exactly 2 Goals9.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.2%

Away Team to Score87.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.1%

Home Clean Sheet12.1%

Home Win to Nil11.3%

Away Clean Sheet6.6%

Away Win to Nil5.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.2%

Away Over 0.587.7%

Home Over 1.575.3%

Away Over 1.562.2%

Home Over 2.551.0%

Home 3+ Goals51.0%

Away Over 2.535.3%

Away 3+ Goals35.3%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 125.5%

Home Exactly 224.3%

Home Exactly 117.9%

Away Exactly 012.1%

Home Exactly 06.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.6%

Home to win by 3+18.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 118.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 214.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 114.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.8%

Away to win by 28.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.3%

Away to win by 3+7.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.4%

Home & Over 2.546.3%

Home & BTTS40.1%

Away & Over 2.526.8%

Away & BTTS24.5%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.7%

Home & No BTTS11.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

Away & No BTTS5.8%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

Home & Under 2.55.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Away & Under 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.6%

HT Over 1.563.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Both Teams Score43.3%

HT Home Win42.4%

HT Under 1.536.1%

HT/FT Home/Home33.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw29.0%

HT Away Win28.6%

HT/FT Away/Away18.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%

HT Under 0.511.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions