England · League Cup

Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Fulham 46.7% Draw 28.9% AFC Wimbledon 24.4%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.2%

Exact-score model probability

Fulham

L W D L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

AFC Wimbledon

Form 0-1-0 Goals 1:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fulham win46.7%

Draw28.9%

AFC Wimbledon win24.4%

Over 1.5 goals74.0%

Over 2.5 goals47.1%

Over 3.5 goals25.5%

Both teams to score52.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.3%

Home or Draw (1X)74.0%

Draw No Bet - Home65.0%

Draw or Away (X2)51.7%

Both Halves Over 0.551.6%

Goal in Both Halves51.6%

Home Win48.3%

Draw No Bet - Away35.0%

Away Win26.0%

Draw25.7%

Exactly 1 Goal19.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.4%

Over 0.5 Goals92.3%

Under 4.5 Goals88.3%

Under 3.5 Goals74.5%

Over 1.5 Goals72.4%

1-3 Goals66.8%

2-4 Goals60.8%

Under 2.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals47.1%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals45.2%

3-4 Goals35.4%

Under 1.5 Goals27.6%

Over 3.5 Goals25.5%

4+ Goals25.5%

Exactly 2 Goals25.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Over 4.5 Goals11.7%

Under 0.5 Goals7.7%

Exactly 0 Goals7.7%

Over 5.5 Goals4.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.1%

Away Team to Score64.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.5%

Home Clean Sheet35.3%

Home Win to Nil27.6%

Away Clean Sheet21.9%

Away Win to Nil14.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.1%

Away Over 0.564.7%

Home Over 1.544.8%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 035.3%

Home Exactly 133.3%

Away Over 1.527.9%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Home Exactly 021.9%

Home Over 2.519.6%

Home 3+ Goals19.6%

Away Exactly 219.1%

Away Over 2.58.8%

Away 3+ Goals8.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.8%

Home to win by 123.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 214.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.8%

Home to win by 3+9.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 26.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.7%

BTTS & Over 2.538.3%

Home & Over 2.527.6%

Home & No BTTS27.6%

Home & Under 2.520.7%

Home & BTTS20.7%

Draw & Under 2.520.0%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Away & No BTTS14.2%

Away & Over 2.513.7%

Away & Under 2.512.2%

BTTS & Under 2.512.2%

Away & BTTS11.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.568.4%

HT Under 1.568.0%

2nd Half More Goals42.8%

HT Draw42.6%

HT Home Win35.6%

HT Over 1.532.0%

HT Under 0.531.6%

1st Half More Goals30.8%

HT/FT Home/Home29.2%

Equal Goals Each Half26.4%

HT Away Win21.8%

HT Both Teams Score18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.0%

HT/FT Away/Away14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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