England · Premier League

Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Fulham 46.3% Draw 29.0% Crystal Palace 24.7%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 10.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Fulham: 7 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Fulham 1 wins, 2 draws, Crystal Palace 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.5%

Exact-score model probability

Fulham

L W L W D L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Crystal Palace

L L W L D L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:13 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 5

Fulham 1wins ·2 draws ·Crystal Palace 2wins

Fulham 1-1 Crystal PalaceJan 1, 2026

Fulham 1-2 Crystal PalaceDec 7, 2025

Fulham 0-2 Crystal PalaceFeb 22, 2025

Fulham 2-0 Crystal PalaceNov 9, 2024

Fulham 1-1 Crystal PalaceApr 27, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fulham win46.3%

Draw29.0%

Crystal Palace win24.7%

Over 1.5 goals70.8%

Over 2.5 goals77.8%

Over 3.5 goals22.6%

Both teams to score56.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.9%

Home Over 0.5

90.9%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.5%

Draw No Bet - Home85.0%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Home Win70.3%

Both Halves Over 0.565.1%

Goal in Both Halves65.1%

Draw or Away (X2)29.6%

Draw17.1%

Draw No Bet - Away15.0%

Away Win12.5%

Exactly 1 Goal12.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Under 5.5 Goals88.1%

Over 1.5 Goals84.3%

Under 4.5 Goals75.9%

Over 2.5 Goals64.4%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 3.5 Goals57.6%

1-3 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.4%

4+ Goals42.4%

2-3 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.6%

1-2 Goals31.9%

Over 4.5 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.9%

Under 1.5 Goals15.7%

Over 5.5 Goals11.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 0 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.9%

Away Team to Score59.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.5%

Home Clean Sheet40.1%

Home Win to Nil36.5%

Away Clean Sheet9.0%

Away Win to Nil5.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.9%

Home Over 1.569.3%

Away Over 0.559.9%

Home Over 2.543.2%

Home 3+ Goals43.2%

Away Exactly 040.1%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Away Over 1.523.2%

Home Exactly 121.7%

Away Exactly 216.7%

Home Exactly 09.0%

Away Over 2.56.5%

Away 3+ Goals6.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.3%

Home to win by 3+27.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.5%

Home to win by 122.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 220.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 18.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.551.2%

BTTS & Over 2.546.5%

Home & No BTTS36.5%

Home & BTTS33.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.5%

Home & Under 2.519.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.9%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Draw & Under 2.511.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Away & Over 2.57.7%

Away & BTTS7.1%

Draw & Over 2.55.6%

Away & No BTTS5.4%

Away & Under 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.6%

HT Under 1.555.9%

HT Home Win52.5%

HT/FT Home/Home47.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.544.1%

HT Draw33.6%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.6%

HT Under 0.522.4%

HT Both Teams Score22.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.2%

HT Away Win14.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.6%

HT/FT Away/Away6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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