England · League Cup

Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Kick-off 20:45 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Fulham 86.3% Draw 8.8% Crystal Palace 4.9%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Fulham: 8 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Fulham 1 wins, 1 draws, Crystal Palace 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

Fulham

W W L D D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Crystal Palace

L L W D L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Fulham 1wins ·1 draws ·Crystal Palace 3wins

Fulham 2-3 Crystal PalaceSep 5, 2026

Fulham 1-1 Crystal PalaceJan 1, 2026

Fulham 1-2 Crystal PalaceDec 7, 2025

Fulham 0-2 Crystal PalaceFeb 22, 2025

Fulham 2-0 Crystal PalaceNov 9, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fulham win86.3%

Draw8.8%

Crystal Palace win4.9%

Over 1.5 goals96.3%

Over 2.5 goals87.5%

Over 3.5 goals73.3%

Both teams to score64.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.4%

Draw No Bet - Home85.7%

Home or Away (12)85.4%

Both Halves Over 0.576.5%

Goal in Both Halves76.5%

Home Win73.2%

Draw or Away (X2)26.4%

Draw No Bet - Away14.3%

Draw14.2%

Away Win12.2%

Exactly 1 Goal6.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals78.6%

Under 5.5 Goals75.7%

Over 3.5 Goals60.1%

4+ Goals60.1%

Under 4.5 Goals59.3%

2-4 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals40.7%

Under 3.5 Goals39.9%

1-3 Goals38.0%

3-4 Goals38.0%

2-3 Goals31.7%

Over 5.5 Goals24.3%

Under 2.5 Goals21.4%

1-2 Goals19.5%

Exactly 3 Goals18.5%

Exactly 2 Goals13.2%

Under 1.5 Goals8.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.6%

Away Team to Score69.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.8%

Home Clean Sheet29.9%

Home Win to Nil28.4%

Away Clean Sheet5.0%

Away Win to Nil3.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.6%

Home Over 1.579.7%

Away Over 0.569.7%

Home Over 2.557.2%

Home 3+ Goals57.2%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Over 1.533.8%

Away Exactly 029.9%

Home Exactly 222.4%

Away Exactly 221.7%

Home Exactly 115.0%

Away Over 2.512.1%

Away 3+ Goals12.1%

Home Exactly 05.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away80.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)65.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away65.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.5%

Home to win by 3+34.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 219.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 119.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home19.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.7%

Away to win by 17.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.562.0%

BTTS & Over 2.560.8%

Home & BTTS44.8%

Home & No BTTS28.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.6%

Draw & BTTS12.7%

Home & Under 2.511.2%

Away & Over 2.59.3%

Away & BTTS8.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.9%

BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Away & No BTTS3.5%

Away & Under 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.9%

HT Home Win56.8%

HT Over 1.556.4%

HT/FT Home/Home51.8%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.6%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score31.0%

HT Draw28.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.3%

HT Under 0.515.1%

HT Away Win14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.8%

HT/FT Away/Away6.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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