England · Premier League

Fulham vs Manchester United

Kick-off 16:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Fulham 34.3% Draw 28.6% Manchester United 37.2%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Manchester United: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.5%

Exact-score model probability

Fulham

D L L W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Manchester United

L W D W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Fulham 1wins ·1 draws ·Manchester United 3wins

Fulham 2-3 Manchester UnitedFeb 1, 2026

Fulham 1-1 Manchester UnitedAug 24, 2025

Fulham 0-1 Manchester UnitedJan 26, 2025

Fulham 0-1 Manchester UnitedAug 16, 2024

Fulham 2-1 Manchester UnitedFeb 24, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fulham win34.3%

Draw28.6%

Manchester United win37.2%

Over 1.5 goals77.2%

Over 2.5 goals71.2%

Over 3.5 goals29.3%

Both teams to score71.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.6%

Draw or Away (X2)67.8%

Both Halves Over 0.562.5%

Goal in Both Halves62.5%

Draw No Bet - Away58.0%

Home or Draw (1X)55.5%

Away Win44.5%

Draw No Bet - Home42.0%

Home Win32.1%

Draw23.4%

Exactly 1 Goal13.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Under 5.5 Goals90.0%

Over 1.5 Goals82.3%

Under 4.5 Goals78.9%

Under 3.5 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals61.1%

2-4 Goals61.1%

1-3 Goals57.0%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals38.9%

Over 3.5 Goals38.8%

4+ Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals34.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.2%

Over 4.5 Goals21.1%

Under 1.5 Goals17.7%

Over 5.5 Goals10.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.1%

Home Team to Score76.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.5%

Away Clean Sheet23.8%

Away Win to Nil19.6%

Home Clean Sheet17.9%

Home Win to Nil13.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.1%

Home Over 0.576.2%

Away Over 1.551.3%

Home Over 1.542.0%

Home Exactly 134.2%

Away Exactly 130.8%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Away Over 2.524.9%

Away 3+ Goals24.9%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 023.8%

Away Exactly 017.9%

Home Over 2.517.5%

Home 3+ Goals17.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)55.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home55.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)44.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.0%

Away to win by 121.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 117.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.4%

Away to win by 213.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.1%

Away to win by 3+10.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.3%

Home to win by 29.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.4%

Home to win by 3+5.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.552.0%

Away & Over 2.530.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.4%

Away & BTTS24.9%

Home & Over 2.521.7%

Away & No BTTS19.6%

Draw & BTTS19.1%

Home & BTTS18.5%

Draw & Under 2.514.8%

Away & Under 2.513.7%

Home & No BTTS13.6%

Home & Under 2.510.5%

BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.8%

HT Under 1.558.5%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Over 1.541.5%

HT Draw37.8%

HT Away Win35.0%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Home Win27.2%

HT/FT Away/Away27.2%

HT Both Teams Score25.6%

HT Under 0.524.2%

Equal Goals Each Half23.3%

HT/FT Home/Home18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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