England · Premier League

Fulham vs Newcastle

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Fulham 40.2% Draw 27.8% Newcastle 32.1%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Fulham: 9 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Fulham 3 wins, 0 draws, Newcastle 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.5%

Exact-score model probability

Fulham

D W W L D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.67

Newcastle

L W L L W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Fulham 3wins ·0 draws ·Newcastle 2wins

Fulham 2-0 NewcastleMay 24, 2026

Fulham 1-2 NewcastleOct 25, 2025

Fulham 2-1 NewcastleFeb 1, 2025

Fulham 3-1 NewcastleSep 21, 2024

Fulham 0-1 NewcastleApr 6, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Fulham win40.2%

Draw27.8%

Newcastle win32.1%

Over 1.5 goals76.4%

Over 2.5 goals83.8%

Over 3.5 goals28.8%

Both teams to score79.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.2%

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Home Over 0.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.0%

Both Halves Over 0.573.4%

Goal in Both Halves73.4%

Home or Draw (1X)72.6%

Draw No Bet - Home65.9%

Home Win52.7%

Draw or Away (X2)47.2%

Draw No Bet - Away34.1%

Away Win27.3%

Draw19.9%

Exactly 1 Goal7.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals90.2%

Under 5.5 Goals79.7%

Over 2.5 Goals75.0%

Under 4.5 Goals64.4%

Over 3.5 Goals55.1%

4+ Goals55.1%

2-4 Goals54.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals44.9%

1-3 Goals42.8%

3-4 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.6%

2-3 Goals35.1%

Under 2.5 Goals25.0%

1-2 Goals22.9%

Over 5.5 Goals20.3%

Exactly 3 Goals19.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.2%

Under 1.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score80.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.7%

Home Clean Sheet19.6%

Home Win to Nil17.6%

Away Clean Sheet10.1%

Away Win to Nil8.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 0.580.4%

Home Over 1.566.8%

Away Over 1.548.5%

Home Over 2.540.2%

Home 3+ Goals40.2%

Away Exactly 131.9%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Over 2.522.4%

Away 3+ Goals22.4%

Away Exactly 019.6%

Home Exactly 010.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.9%

Home to win by 3+16.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 215.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.4%

Away to win by 114.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.9%

Away to win by 27.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.0%

Away to win by 3+5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.9%

Home & Over 2.543.0%

Home & BTTS35.1%

Away & Over 2.521.5%

Away & BTTS19.2%

Draw & BTTS17.9%

Home & No BTTS17.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.5%

Draw & Over 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.1%

Home & Under 2.59.7%

Draw & Under 2.59.3%

Away & No BTTS8.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Away & Under 2.55.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.9%

HT Over 1.552.7%

HT Under 1.547.3%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Home Win41.8%

HT/FT Home/Home34.1%

HT Both Teams Score33.5%

HT Draw32.7%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win25.4%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT Under 0.517.1%

HT/FT Away/Away16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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